Bundesligahub →Bundesliga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SK Rapid | 9 | 24 | 15.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.7 | +3.4 | 0:2 vs LASK (+2.0) | 5:1 vs Salzburg (-1.0) |
2 | Hartberg | 9 | 11 | 8.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 11 | +1.6 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Altach (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Austria Vienna (-1.3) |
3 | Ried | 9 | 14 | 11.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 5 | +3.3 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Tirol (+1.6) | 3:2 vs Hartberg (-1.5) |
4 | Salzburg | 8 | 18 | 16.3 | +1.7On expectation | 2 | +3.6 | -1.9 | 5:1 vs SK Rapid (+1.2) | 1:1 vs Ried (-1.1) |
5 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 14 | 12.4 | +1.6On expectation | 4 | +1.7 | -0.2 | 2:1 vs LASK (+1.9) | 1:1 vs A. Lustenau (-1.3) |
6 | LASK | 9 | 19 | 18.3 | +0.8On expectation | 1 | +0.8 | -0.1 | 0:2 vs Austria Vienna (+1.2) | 0:2 vs SK Rapid (-1.7) |
7 | Grazer AK | 8 | 9 | 8.8 | +0.2On expectation | 10 | +0.8 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs Altach (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Ried (-1.0) |
8 | Tirol | 8 | 8 | 8.3 | -0.3On expectation | 12 | -2.6 | +2.4 | 0:1 vs Austria Vienna (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Ried (-1.4) |
9 | A. Lustenau | 9 | 8 | 9.3 | -1.3On expectation | 8 | +1.4 | -2.6 | 2:1 vs Wolfsberger AC (+1.9) | 0:4 vs Tirol (-1.6) |
10 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 5 | 9.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 9 | +0.0 | -4.0 | 3:0 vs Austria Vienna (+1.5) | 2:1 vs A. Lustenau (-1.7) |
11 | Austria Vienna | 9 | 7 | 11.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 6 | -2.7 | -1.9 | 0:2 vs Hartberg (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Tirol (-1.8) |
12 | Altach | 8 | 6 | 10.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 7 | -1.1 | -3.8 | 3:0 vs Wolfsberger AC (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Hartberg (-1.9) |