Bundesligahub →Bundesliga 2021-2022 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Bundesliga splits into championship and relegation groups after round 22; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ried | 22 | 29 | 21.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 11 | +10.6 | -3.1 | 1:0 vs LASK (+2.3) | 4:2 vs Tirol (-1.0) |
2 | A. Klagenfurt | 22 | 30 | 22.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 10 | +5.3 | +1.9 | 2:1 vs Salzburg (+2.6) | 4:0 vs Admira (-1.2) |
3 | Wolfsberger AC | 22 | 37 | 31.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +4.8 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs LASK (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Hartberg (-1.9) |
4 | Austria Vienna | 22 | 33 | 30.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 6 | +0.1 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs LASK (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Ried (-1.6) |
5 | Salzburg | 22 | 55 | 53.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 1 | +3.3 | -1.2 | 1:3 vs Sturm Graz (+1.0) | 2:1 vs A. Klagenfurt (-2.5) |
6 | Sturm Graz | 22 | 37 | 37.2 | -0.2On expectation | 3 | -1.4 | +1.2 | 1:3 vs LASK (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Hartberg (-1.9) |
7 | Hartberg | 22 | 22 | 23.8 | -1.8On expectation | 9 | -3.1 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs SK Rapid (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Altach (-1.7) |
8 | Tirol | 22 | 23 | 25.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 7 | -2.2 | -0.2 | 5:1 vs Wolfsberger AC (+1.8) | 0:1 vs A. Klagenfurt (-1.6) |
9 | Admira | 22 | 20 | 24.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 8 | -5.6 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs SK Rapid (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Ried (-1.6) |
10 | SK Rapid | 22 | 31 | 36.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -1.2 | -4.2 | 3:2 vs LASK (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Hartberg (-2.3) |
11 | Altach | 22 | 13 | 19.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 12 | -6.3 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs LASK (+2.4) | 0:4 vs A. Klagenfurt (-1.4) |
12 | LASK | 22 | 25 | 38.4 | -13.4Underperforming −− | 2 | -7.8 | -5.6 | 2:3 vs Austria Vienna (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Altach (-2.2) |