The season in numbers
Under 2.5 goals paid out more than the market charged: +11.1% at market prices across 135 matches. 1 other market also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
SJK Akatemia produced performances worth 10 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31.6' on average.
Add Ykkonen fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 17 OctWe simulate the remaining Ykkonen schedule 10,000 times a day. KTP win the 2026 title in >99% of them, projecting ~60 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, KaPa finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTP | 58 | 60 | 58–61 | >99% | >99% | — |
| 2 | PK-35 | 49 | 51 | 49–52 | — | >99% | — |
| 3 | Haka | 47 | 48 | 47–50 | — | >99% | — |
| 4 | Jippo | 44 | 45 | 44–47 | — | >99% | — |
| 5 | JaPS | 35 | 36 | 35–38 | — | — | — |
| · · · | |||||||
| 8 | Klubi 04 | 26 | 27 | 26–29 | — | — | 95% |
| 9 | KaPa | 25 | 26 | 25–28 | — | — | >99% |
| 10 | SJK Akatemia | 17 | 18 | 17–20 | — | — | >99% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 5 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/finland/ykkosliiga/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Ykkonen live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/finland/ykkosliiga">Ykkonen stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Ykkonen match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTP | 59 | 50.5 | +8.5 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 | PK-35 | 52 | 42.5 | +9.5 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Haka | 47 | 49.5 | -2.5 | |
| 4 | Jippo | 47 | 46.1 | +0.9 | |
| 5 | JaPS | 38 | 31.1 | +6.9 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 8 | Klubi 04 | 27 | 32.3 | -5.3 | |
| 9 | KaPa | 25 | 28.1 | -3.1 | |
| 10 | SJK Akatemia | 17 | 26.7 | -9.7 | underperformed expectations |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+