Ykkosliiga 2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ekenas | 22 | 48 | 34.7 | +13.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +8.3 | +5.0 | 2:1 vs TPS (+1.9) | 3:1 vs TPS (-1.4) |
2 | Gnistan | 22 | 48 | 36.2 | +11.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +1.9 | +9.8 | 0:2 vs HIFK (+2.0) | 0:3 vs TPS (-1.6) |
3 | Mikkeli | 22 | 41 | 30.3 | +10.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.4 | +7.3 | 0:2 vs HIFK (+2.4) | 0:2 vs JaPS (-1.8) |
4 | SJK Akatemia | 22 | 39 | 29.0 | +10.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +8.7 | +1.3 | 1:2 vs HIFK (+1.9) | 0:4 vs Ekenas (-1.4) |
5 | TPS | 22 | 40 | 37.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 1 | +7.3 | -4.9 | 0:3 vs Gnistan (+1.9) | 2:0 vs KaPa (-1.9) |
6 | HIFK | 22 | 30 | 32.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 4 | -1.8 | -0.6 | 2:0 vs TPS (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Mikkeli (-2.1) |
7 | SalPa | 22 | 26 | 28.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 9 | +0.7 | -3.6 | 3:0 vs TPS (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Ekenas (-1.5) |
8 | KaPa | 22 | 20 | 23.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 11 | -0.0 | -3.5 | 2:0 vs TPS (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Jaro (-1.3) |
9 | JaPS | 22 | 21 | 29.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 7 | -7.8 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs Mikkeli (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Mikkeli (-1.9) |
10 | Jaro | 22 | 21 | 30.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 6 | -1.9 | -7.1 | 2:3 vs KaPa (+1.6) | 1:0 vs SJK Akatemia (-1.6) |
11 | JJK Jyvaskyla | 22 | 12 | 22.5 | -10.5Underperforming −− | 12 | -4.2 | -6.3 | 3:1 vs Jaro (+1.7) | 1:2 vs KaPa (-1.7) |
12 | KPV Kokkola | 22 | 15 | 26.9 | -11.9Underperforming −− | 10 | -7.3 | -4.7 | 0:3 vs JaPS (+2.0) | 1:2 vs JaPS (-1.6) |
