Ykkosliigahub →Ykkosliiga 2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lahti | 26 | 57 | 50.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +7.0 | -0.0 | 0:2 vs Klubi 04 (+1.5) | 2:1 vs JaPS (-2.1) |
2 | PK-35 | 13 | 22 | 16.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 11 | 0.0 | +5.2 | 1:3 vs TPS (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Ekenas (-1.2) |
3 | TPS | 26 | 50 | 46.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 2 | +3.3 | +0.6 | 0:2 vs Ekenas (+1.8) | 1:0 vs SalPa (-2.5) |
4 | JaPS | 25 | 31 | 27.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 7 | +3.0 | +0.4 | 2:1 vs Lahti (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Klubi 04 (-1.2) |
5 | Klubi 04 | 25 | 38 | 34.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 5 | -2.1 | +5.2 | 3:4 vs Ekenas (+2.1) | 2:0 vs JaPS (-1.7) |
6 | 35-Ekenas | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 13 | 0.0 | +3.0 | 1:2 vs PK (+1.5) | 1:2 vs PK (1.5) |
7 | 35-TPS | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 2:3 vs PK (+1.5) | 2:3 vs PK (1.5) |
8 | 35-Jippo | 2 | 4 | 3.0 | +1.0On expectation | 12 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 0:2 vs PK (+1.5) | 1:1 vs PK (-0.5) |
9 | 35-Lahti | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5On expectation | 17 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 0:0 vs PK (+-0.5) | 0:0 vs PK (-0.5) |
10 | 35-SalPa | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 3:1 vs PK (+-0.7) | 3:1 vs PK (-0.7) |
11 | SJK Akatemia | 26 | 29 | 29.8 | -0.8On expectation | 6 | +0.3 | -1.1 | 2:3 vs Ekenas (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Klubi 04 (-1.5) |
12 | 35-SJK Akatemia | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs PK (+-0.8) | 2:1 vs PK (-0.8) |
13 | 35-KaPa | 2 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 1:1 vs PK (+-0.0) | 4:0 vs PK (-0.9) |
14 | 35-JaPS | 2 | 1 | 2.1 | -1.1On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 0:0 vs PK (+-0.1) | 1:0 vs PK (-1.0) |
15 | PK | 14 | 20 | 21.5 | -1.5On expectation | 9 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs 35-Klubi 04 (+1.6) | 1:2 vs 35-Ekenas (-1.3) |
16 | 35-Klubi 04 | 2 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6On expectation | 14 | 0.0 | -1.6 | 1:1 vs PK (+-0.2) | 2:1 vs PK (-1.4) |
17 | SalPa | 26 | 15 | 20.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.9 | -3.8 | 1:0 vs TPS (+2.7) | 3:1 vs KaPa (-1.2) |
18 | Jippo | 25 | 37 | 42.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 3 | +0.4 | -6.2 | 1:0 vs Lahti (+2.0) | 3:1 vs SJK Akatemia (-1.8) |
19 | KaPa | 25 | 19 | 25.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 8 | -2.0 | -4.3 | 4:2 vs TPS (+2.2) | 2:3 vs JaPS (-1.7) |
20 | Ekenas | 25 | 35 | 41.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 4 | -3.2 | -3.4 | 4:1 vs KaPa (+1.5) | 2:3 vs SalPa (-2.3) |