Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Pyramids | 17 | 42 | 32.1 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.3 | +4.5 | 3:0 vs Zamalek (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Al Masry (-1.6) |
2 | National Bank Egypt | 17 | 29 | 22.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 8 | +0.4 | +5.9 | 1:4 vs Smouha (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Petrojet (-1.5) |
3 | Haras El Hodood | 17 | 22 | 15.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 18 | +5.9 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs Ghazl El Mahallah (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Smouha (-1.1) |
4 | Al Masry | 17 | 30 | 25.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 5 | +2.7 | +1.5 | 1:0 vs Pyramids (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Petrojet (-1.5) |
5 | Zamalek | 17 | 32 | 28.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 3 | +1.6 | +2.0 | 0:2 vs Smouha (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Modern Sport (-1.6) |
6 | Al Ahly | 17 | 39 | 35.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 1 | +1.9 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Al Masry (+1.2) | 0:0 vs Enppi (-1.3) |
7 | Pharco | 17 | 23 | 19.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 14 | +0.8 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Ceramica Cleopatra (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Al Ittihad (-1.4) |
8 | Petrojet | 17 | 22 | 20.8 | +1.2On expectation | 10 | +0.2 | +1.0 | 2:1 vs Al Masry (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Pharco (-1.5) |
9 | El Gaish | 17 | 21 | 20.1 | +0.9On expectation | 11 | -2.7 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs Al Ittihad (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.7) |
10 | El Gouna | 17 | 17 | 17.0 | -0.0On expectation | 17 | +0.7 | -0.7 | 2:0 vs Ceramica Cleopatra (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.6) |
11 | Al Ittihad | 17 | 18 | 20.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 12 | -1.7 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Pharco (+1.7) | 0:1 vs El Gaish (-1.5) |
12 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 17 | 17 | 19.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 16 | -1.5 | -0.5 | 2:4 vs Smouha (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.7) |
13 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 17 | 24 | 26.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 4 | -1.6 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs National Bank Egypt (+1.6) | 2:0 vs El Gouna (-1.9) |
14 | ZED | 17 | 21 | 23.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 7 | -1.8 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Al Ittihad (+1.5) | 1:0 vs El Gaish (-1.3) |
15 | Smouha | 17 | 20 | 23.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 6 | -4.8 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Ceramica Cleopatra (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Ghazl El Mahallah (-1.9) |
16 | El Ismaily | 17 | 14 | 19.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 13 | -1.4 | -4.2 | 0:3 vs Modern Sport (+1.9) | 1:2 vs El Gaish (-1.4) |
17 | Enppi | 17 | 12 | 19.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 15 | -0.9 | -6.3 | 1:0 vs Smouha (+1.8) | 1:0 vs El Gouna (-1.5) |
18 | Modern Sport | 17 | 9 | 21.9 | -12.9Underperforming −− | 9 | -5.4 | -7.5 | 1:0 vs Zamalek (+1.9) | 2:3 vs El Gouna (-1.6) |
