Premier League 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Al Ahly | 34 | 83 | 72.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.2 | +7.8 | 3:0 vs Pyramids (+1.4) | 1:1 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.7) |
2 | Pyramids | 34 | 73 | 65.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +10.8 | -3.0 | 3:0 vs Al Ahly (+1.8) | 2:1 vs El Daklyeh (-2.3) |
3 | Enppi | 34 | 45 | 39.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 13 | +5.2 | +0.8 | 0:2 vs Zamalek (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Ghazl El Mahallah (-1.4) |
4 | Zamalek | 34 | 60 | 55.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 3 | +7.5 | -3.1 | 2:3 vs Modern Sport (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Enppi (-2.0) |
5 | Pharco | 34 | 42 | 38.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 14 | +5.3 | -1.5 | 1:2 vs Al Masry (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Al Masry (-1.5) |
6 | Modern Sport | 34 | 58 | 54.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 4 | +0.0 | +3.5 | 2:3 vs Ceramica Cleopatra (+1.6) | 0:1 vs El Daklyeh (-2.0) |
7 | Smouha | 34 | 42 | 42.1 | -0.1On expectation | 12 | -4.7 | +4.7 | 0:2 vs Ceramica Cleopatra (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Aswan SC (-1.8) |
8 | El Daklyeh | 34 | 35 | 35.3 | -0.3On expectation | 17 | -4.4 | +4.1 | 2:1 vs Pyramids (+2.5) | 0:1 vs El Ismaily (-1.3) |
9 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 43 | 44.2 | -1.2On expectation | 9 | +1.2 | -2.4 | 2:3 vs National Bank Egypt (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Ghazl El Mahallah (-1.9) |
10 | El Ismaily | 34 | 40 | 42.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 11 | -1.7 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Al Masry (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.6) |
11 | Arab Contractors | 34 | 44 | 46.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 7 | -2.8 | +0.0 | 1:2 vs El Gaish (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Smouha (-1.6) |
12 | Al Masry | 34 | 48 | 50.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 5 | -3.1 | +0.3 | 0:3 vs Pharco (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Aswan SC (-1.9) |
13 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 34 | 33 | 36.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 16 | +1.5 | -4.4 | 0:2 vs Al Ittihad (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.9) |
14 | Aswan SC | 34 | 33 | 37.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 15 | -3.7 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Al Masry (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.6) |
15 | Haras El Hodood | 34 | 25 | 31.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 18 | +0.1 | -6.2 | 2:1 vs Ghazl El Mahallah (+2.1) | 0:1 vs El Daklyeh (-1.4) |
16 | National Bank Egypt | 34 | 39 | 45.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 8 | +5.1 | -11.3 | 2:1 vs Pyramids (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Enppi (-1.8) |
17 | El Gaish | 34 | 36 | 43.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 10 | +0.1 | -7.2 | 3:1 vs Al Masry (+2.0) | 0:1 vs El Daklyeh (-1.6) |
18 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 34 | 37 | 48.9 | -11.9Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.3 | -7.6 | 2:1 vs Pyramids (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Smouha (-1.8) |
