Premier Leaguehub →Premier League 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Zamalek | 26 | 56 | 45.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 5 | +4.8 | +5.3 | 0:1 vs Pyramids (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Wadi Degla (-1.8) |
2 | El Gouna | 33 | 46 | 39.1 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 12 | -1.6 | +8.4 | 0:1 vs Smouha (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Pharco (-1.6) |
3 | Wadi Degla | 33 | 53 | 47.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.2 | +3.6 | 2:1 vs Zamalek (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Kahrabaa Ismailia (-1.9) |
4 | Enppi | 26 | 36 | 30.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 21 | +5.6 | -0.3 | 1:0 vs Zamalek (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.6) |
5 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 26 | 44 | 39.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 13 | +4.9 | +0.1 | 1:0 vs Smouha (+1.6) | 3:2 vs Al Masry (-1.6) |
6 | ZED | 33 | 49 | 44.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 7 | +4.7 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs Haras El Hodood (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.8) |
7 | Petrojet | 33 | 45 | 41.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 11 | +0.5 | +2.8 | 2:3 vs Al Masry (+2.2) | 0:1 vs El Ismaily (-1.7) |
8 | Pyramids | 26 | 54 | 51.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 3 | +2.8 | -0.6 | 0:2 vs Al Ahly (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Modern Sport (-2.1) |
9 | Al Masry | 26 | 40 | 38.5 | +1.5On expectation | 14 | +2.1 | -0.6 | 3:2 vs Ceramica Cleopatra (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Petrojet (-1.9) |
10 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 33 | 38 | 38.0 | -0.0On expectation | 15 | +3.6 | -3.7 | 1:0 vs Al Ittihad (+1.8) | 3:2 vs ZED (-1.5) |
11 | Al Ahly | 26 | 53 | 54.2 | -1.2On expectation | 1 | +3.5 | -4.7 | 0:3 vs Zamalek (+1.5) | 2:1 vs El Gaish (-2.1) |
12 | Smouha | 26 | 31 | 33.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 18 | -1.7 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Pyramids (+2.1) | 0:1 vs El Gouna (-1.8) |
13 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 33 | 32 | 35.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 16 | -13.6 | +9.8 | 1:2 vs Wadi Degla (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Haras El Hodood (-1.6) |
14 | National Bank Egypt | 33 | 48 | 52.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 2 | -4.8 | +0.8 | 0:3 vs Petrojet (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Petrojet (-1.8) |
15 | Arab Contractors | 33 | 38 | 43.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 8 | -3.6 | -1.5 | 1:2 vs Modern Sport (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Kahrabaa Ismailia (-1.8) |
16 | El Gaish | 33 | 37 | 42.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 10 | +2.2 | -7.5 | 2:1 vs Al Ahly (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Kahrabaa Ismailia (-1.7) |
17 | Haras El Hodood | 33 | 26 | 31.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 20 | -1.2 | -4.6 | 0:1 vs ZED (+2.1) | 1:2 vs ZED (-1.7) |
18 | Al Ittihad | 33 | 36 | 42.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 9 | +1.2 | -8.1 | 1:0 vs Smouha (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Kahrabaa Ismailia (-1.7) |
19 | Modern Sport | 33 | 37 | 45.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -5.8 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Pyramids (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Arab Contractors (-1.6) |
20 | Pharco | 33 | 25 | 35.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 17 | -6.0 | -4.6 | 0:1 vs El Gouna (+2.0) | 0:1 vs El Gouna (-1.4) |
21 | El Ismaily | 33 | 20 | 33.1 | -13.2Underperforming −− | 19 | -6.8 | -6.4 | 0:1 vs El Gaish (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Modern Sport (-1.3) |