Premier League 2021-2022 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Zamalek | 34 | 77 | 63.1 | +13.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +1.5 | +12.3 | 3:0 vs Pyramids (+1.8) | 0:1 vs El Gaish (-2.1) |
2 | El Gaish | 34 | 56 | 43.7 | +12.3Outperforming ++ | 10 | +7.5 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Zamalek (+2.4) | 0:1 vs El Gouna (-1.6) |
3 | Pyramids | 34 | 71 | 65.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.4 | +1.3 | 2:0 vs Al Ahly (+1.9) | 1:3 vs El Gouna (-2.1) |
4 | Modern Sport | 34 | 56 | 50.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 4 | +4.5 | +0.9 | 1:0 vs Pyramids (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Pharco (-1.7) |
5 | National Bank Egypt | 34 | 46 | 42.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 12 | +1.4 | +2.6 | 2:3 vs Eastern Company (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Smouha (-1.4) |
6 | Pharco | 34 | 42 | 40.1 | +1.9On expectation | 15 | +0.1 | +1.8 | 1:0 vs Modern Sport (+2.0) | 0:1 vs El Gaish (-1.3) |
7 | Eastern Company | 34 | 33 | 31.9 | +1.1On expectation | 17 | -5.0 | +6.1 | 1:2 vs Al Masry (+2.3) | 2:3 vs National Bank Egypt (-1.7) |
8 | Smouha | 34 | 47 | 46.4 | +0.6On expectation | 6 | +6.6 | -6.1 | 3:2 vs Al Ahly (+2.2) | 1:0 vs El Gouna (-1.5) |
9 | Al Ahly | 34 | 70 | 70.5 | -0.6On expectation | 1 | +6.7 | -7.2 | 0:3 vs Al Ittihad (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Al Masry (-2.2) |
10 | Arab Contractors | 34 | 38 | 41.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 13 | -0.7 | -2.7 | 0:2 vs Al Masry (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Pharco (-1.3) |
11 | El Gouna | 34 | 36 | 39.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 16 | -2.5 | -1.1 | 1:3 vs Pyramids (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Misr Lel Makkasa (-1.7) |
12 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 34 | 36 | 40.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 14 | +1.1 | -5.3 | 3:0 vs Enppi (+1.7) | 0:1 vs El Gaish (-1.2) |
13 | Enppi | 34 | 39 | 43.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 11 | -5.1 | +0.7 | 0:2 vs Zamalek (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Eastern Company (-1.8) |
14 | El Ismaily | 34 | 38 | 44.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -2.7 | -3.8 | 1:2 vs Modern Sport (+1.9) | 0:1 vs El Gouna (-1.7) |
15 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 38 | 44.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 8 | +0.3 | -7.0 | 1:0 vs Pyramids (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Pharco (-1.6) |
16 | Al Masry | 34 | 38 | 46.5 | -8.4Underperforming −− | 5 | -4.0 | -4.5 | 1:0 vs Al Ahly (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Eastern Company (-2.0) |
17 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 34 | 37 | 46.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 7 | -1.4 | -7.7 | 0:1 vs Pyramids (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Eastern Company (-1.8) |
18 | Misr Lel Makkasa | 34 | 15 | 28.6 | -13.7Underperforming −− | 18 | -6.7 | -7.0 | 0:1 vs El Gouna (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Ghazl El Mahallah (-1.2) |
