The season in numbers
The outlier
+1.5uBlindly backing ht under 1.5 in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-3.8 ptsSmouha produced performances worth 4 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
18%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 44.5' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →
Ceramica Cleopatra – National Bank Egypt2026-09-14 17:00Home win ✓46.1%vs 38.9%▲ +7.2%- Enppi – Pyramids2026-09-16 17:00Over 1.5 HT ✓35.1%vs 31.0%▲ +4.2%
- El Gouna – Petrojet2026-09-16 14:00Under 2.5 ✓70.1%vs 66.7%▲ +3.5%
- El Gaish – Smouha2026-09-14 14:00Under 2.5 ✓78.6%vs 75.8%▲ +2.9%
- Wadi Degla – Arab Contractors2026-09-15 14:00Home win47.1%vs 46.3%▲ +0.8%
- Al Masry – Al Ittihad2026-09-15 17:00Away win20.7%vs 21.1%-0.4%
- Ghazl El Mahallah – Zamalek2026-09-16 17:00Away win57.8%vs 58.5%-0.7%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ceramica Cleopatra– National Bank Egypt | 2026-09-14 | 17:00 | Home win ✓ | 46.1% | 38.9% | ▲ +7.2% | 2.57 | |
| 2 |  Enppi– Pyramids | 2026-09-16 | 17:00 | Over 1.5 HT ✓ | 35.1% | 31.0% | ▲ +4.2% | 3.23 | |
| 3 |  El Gouna– Petrojet | 2026-09-16 | 14:00 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 70.1% | 66.7% | ▲ +3.5% | 1.50 | |
| 4 |  El Gaish– Smouha | 2026-09-14 | 14:00 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 78.6% | 75.8% | ▲ +2.9% | 1.32 | |
| 5 |  Wadi Degla– Arab Contractors | 2026-09-15 | 14:00 | Home win | 47.1% | 46.3% | ▲ +0.8% | 2.16 | |
| 6 |  Al Masry– Al Ittihad | 2026-09-15 | 17:00 | Away win | 20.7% | 21.1% | -0.4% | 4.73 | |
| 7 |  Ghazl El Mahallah– Zamalek | 2026-09-16 | 17:00 | Away win | 57.8% | 58.5% | -0.7% | 1.71 |
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Premier League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
HT Under 1.5▲ +1.5u
40 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Premier League match in 2026-2027: +1.5 units over 40 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -0.6u
40 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Premier League match in 2026-2027: -0.6 units over 40 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -3.7u
40 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Premier League match in 2026-2027: -3.7 units over 40 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -6.3u
40 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Premier League match in 2026-2027: -6.3 units over 40 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -7.6u
40 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Premier League match in 2026-2027: -7.6 units over 40 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -9.7u
40 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Premier League match in 2026-2027: -9.7 units over 40 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -13.2u
40 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Premier League match in 2026-2027: -13.2 units over 40 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids | 12 | 8.5 | +3.5 | |
| 2 | Zamalek | 10 | 7.8 | +2.2 | |
| 3 |  Al Ahly | 10 | 8.8 | +1.2 | |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 9 | 6.7 | +2.3 | |
| 5 | El Gaish | 7 | 5.5 | +1.5 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 18 | Asyut Petroleum | 2 | 3.4 | -1.4 | |
| 19 | Smouha | 1 | 4.8 | -3.8 | |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1 | 4.0 | -3.0 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisPyramids12 ptsZamalek10 ptsAl Ahly10 ptsCeramica Cleopatra9 ptsEl Gaish7 pts
Modern Sport7 pts
Al Ittihad7 ptsAl Qanah6 ptsAl Masry6 ptsNational Bank Egypt6 ptsWadi Degla5 ptsPetrojet4 ptsArab Contractors4 ptsEnppi4 pts
ZED4 ptsAbu Qir Semad3 ptsEl Gouna2 ptsAsyut Petroleum2 ptsSmouha1 ptsGhazl El Mahallah1 ptsGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+