Fastest starters
Narva20%
3 of their 15 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Kuressaare37%
7 of their 19 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Levadia are 2026 champions — 46 pts
Their xPTS said 43.1: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+154.1uBlindly backing away wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-10.3 ptsNarva produced performances worth 10 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
45%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 29.6' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Meistriliiga match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 46 | 43.1 | +2.9 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Flora | 36 | 33.7 | +2.3 | |
| 3 |  Kalju |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
Kuressaare
Narva