Meistriliigahub →Meistriliiga 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tammeka | 26 | 41 | 29.4 | +11.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | +6.7 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs Kalju (+2.4) | 3:2 vs Kuressaare (-1.5) |
2 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 26 | 34 | 27.2 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 9 | +7.7 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs Kalju (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Harju JK Laagri (-1.5) |
3 | Levadia | 26 | 65 | 58.2 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.5 | +6.3 | 4:0 vs Kuressaare (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Flora (-1.9) |
4 | Kuressaare | 27 | 28 | 24.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 10 | +5.0 | -1.6 | 2:3 vs Flora (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Parnu JK Vaprus (-1.4) |
5 | Harju JK Laagri | 27 | 31 | 28.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 8 | +3.3 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Flora (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Kuressaare (-1.7) |
6 | Paide | 26 | 45 | 43.2 | +1.8On expectation | 4 | +1.2 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Flora (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Tammeka (-2.2) |
7 | Flora | 27 | 49 | 47.6 | +1.4On expectation | 3 | -1.3 | +2.7 | 1:2 vs Levadia (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Kuressaare (-2.3) |
8 | Nomme Utd | 27 | 28 | 30.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 6 | -5.3 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs Kalju (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Tammeka (-1.8) |
9 | Kalju | 27 | 44 | 49.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 2 | -5.5 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Flora (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Parnu JK Vaprus (-2.3) |
10 | Narva | 27 | 18 | 30.8 | -12.8Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.1 | -9.7 | 1:0 vs Paide (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Harju JK Laagri (-1.9) |