Meistriliigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Flora | 36 | 97 | 84.8 | +12.2Outperforming ++ | 1 | +7.1 | +5.1 | 2:0 vs Levadia (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Kalju (-2.1) |
2 | Tallinna Kalev | 36 | 35 | 25.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 9 | +3.2 | +6.7 | 1:2 vs Paide (+2.8) | 3:1 vs Parnu JK Vaprus (-1.3) |
3 | Kuressaare | 36 | 50 | 40.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 7 | +8.4 | +0.8 | 2:1 vs Paide (+2.5) | 3:2 vs Legion (-1.8) |
4 | Legion | 36 | 26 | 25.4 | +0.6On expectation | 8 | +4.3 | -3.8 | 1:4 vs Tammeka (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Tallinna Kalev (-1.4) |
5 | Levadia | 36 | 79 | 79.1 | -0.1On expectation | 2 | -3.0 | +2.9 | 0:1 vs Kalju (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Kuressaare (-2.3) |
6 | Kalju | 36 | 65 | 65.3 | -0.3On expectation | 4 | +4.2 | -4.5 | 1:0 vs Flora (+2.4) | 3:0 vs Tammeka (-2.0) |
7 | Tammeka | 36 | 39 | 41.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 6 | +2.0 | -4.8 | 3:0 vs Kalju (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Tallinna Kalev (-2.0) |
8 | Paide | 36 | 65 | 73.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 3 | -5.0 | -3.8 | 1:2 vs Levadia (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Tallinna Kalev (-2.7) |
9 | Narva | 36 | 38 | 47.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -2.7 | -6.4 | 2:1 vs Kalju (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Parnu JK Vaprus (-2.0) |
10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 36 | 11 | 23.2 | -12.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.6 | -10.6 | 1:0 vs Narva (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Legion (-1.4) |
