Meistriliigahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Levadia | 27 | 67 | 58.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.5 | +6.3 | 0:3 vs Paide (+1.7) | 3:2 vs Tulevik (-2.5) |
2 | Kuressaare | 27 | 28 | 23.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 9 | +2.6 | +2.3 | 1:0 vs Flora (+2.7) | 2:1 vs Parnu JK Vaprus (-1.8) |
3 | Flora | 27 | 64 | 61.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 1 | +2.9 | -0.2 | 2:4 vs Levadia (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Kuressaare (-2.5) |
4 | Legion | 27 | 38 | 37.8 | +0.3On expectation | 5 | +1.1 | -0.8 | 0:2 vs Kuressaare (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Tulevik (-1.8) |
5 | Tulevik | 26 | 27 | 26.8 | +0.2On expectation | 8 | +6.0 | -3.8 | 3:2 vs Levadia (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Kuressaare (-1.6) |
6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 26 | 12 | 12.3 | -0.3On expectation | 10 | +2.0 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs Kalju (+2.7) | 2:1 vs Kuressaare (-1.2) |
7 | Paide | 27 | 53 | 54.1 | -1.1On expectation | 3 | -1.6 | +0.5 | 0:4 vs Levadia (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Tulevik (-2.4) |
8 | Narva | 27 | 29 | 30.3 | -1.3On expectation | 6 | +0.5 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Kalju (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Parnu JK Vaprus (-2.5) |
9 | Kalju | 27 | 43 | 46.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 4 | -4.7 | +0.9 | 3:2 vs Paide (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Parnu JK Vaprus (-2.6) |
10 | Tammeka | 27 | 19 | 28.2 | -9.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.8 | -4.4 | 2:1 vs Narva (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Kuressaare (-1.7) |
