Paide are 2nd in the 2026 Meistriliiga after 33 matches — 60 points from an 18-6-9 record, 53 goals scored and 39 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 55.2 — 4.8 more than they have banked; the underlying numbers place them 4th. The 1:2 against Flora was the kindest result. Form over the last five: WLWWW, 12 points. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match; 52% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 8 clean sheets and 4 blanks in front of goal. Biggest win: 4:1 against Tammeka.
Of their 53 goals, the most (11) have come in the 75-90 minute band. 15 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Paide match has come before half-time 23 times in 33.
Collected 4.8 more points than market odds expected (55.2 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. The bookmaker margin usually wins — shown because we publish losers too.
12 points from the last five. Avg 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
league hub →
Paide – Kalju2026-10-28 17:00Under 2.5Model 55.3%Implied 46.1%▲ +9.3%- Parnu JK Vaprus – Paide2026-10-31 12:30Home winModel 27.2%Implied 24.2%▲ +3.0%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paide– Kalju | 2026-10-28 | 17:00 | Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 46.1% | ▲ +9.3% | 2.17 |
| 2 |  Parnu JK Vaprus–Paide | 2026-10-31 | 12:30 | Home win | 27.2% | 24.2% | ▲ +3.0% | 4.13 |
Add Paide fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
All 2026 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 |  Kuressaare | A | 0:1 | 0:1 | 38' | 3.77 | 3.63 | 1.73 | W |
| 2026-10-18 |  Narva | H | 2:1 | 1:0 | 18' | 1.68 | 3.76 | 4.00 | W |
| 2026-10-14 |  Tammeka | H | 2:1 | 1:1 | 41' | 1.63 | 3.98 | 4.13 | W |
| 2026-10-11 |  Levadia | A | 1:0 | 0:0 | 89' | 1.34 | 4.64 | 7.29 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | Nomme Utd | A | 1:3 | 0:1 | 20' | 4.12 | 4.13 | 1.61 | W |
| 2026-09-16 |  Parnu JK Vaprus | H | 2:0 | 1:0 | 4' | 1.49 | 4.14 | 5.15 | W |
| 2026-09-13 |  Harju JK Laagri | H | 1:2 | 0:1 | 9' | 1.51 | 4.23 | 4.71 | L |
| 2026-09-09 | Tammeka | A | 0:2 | 0:1 | 28' | 2.97 | 3.58 | 2.02 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | Levadia | H | 0:2 | 0:0 | 68' | 5.94 | 4.65 | 1.35 | L |
| 2026-08-30 |  Flora | A | 1:2 | 0:0 | 47' | 2.88 | 3.65 | 2.05 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | Nomme Utd | H | 4:1 | 1:1 | 27' | 1.52 | 4.29 | 4.60 | W |
| 2026-08-16 | Narva | A | 1:1 | 1:0 | 4' | 3.89 | 3.71 | 1.72 | D |
| 2026-08-02 | Kuressaare | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 93' | 1.60 | 3.87 | 4.45 | W |
| 2026-07-19 | Harju JK Laagri | A | 5:2 | 5:1 | 10' | 2.81 | 3.58 | 2.13 | L |
| 2026-07-04 | Parnu JK Vaprus | H | 3:1 | 2:1 | 15' | 1.46 | 4.28 | 5.23 | W |
| 2026-06-28 |  Kalju | A | 1:1 | 0:0 | 66' | 2.31 | 3.26 | 2.70 | D |
| 2026-06-21 | Flora | A | 1:2 | 1:1 | 5' | 1.89 | 3.34 | 3.61 | W |
| 2026-06-17 | Harju JK Laagri | H | 1:0 | 1:0 | 24' | 1.41 | 4.46 | 5.92 | W |
| 2026-06-14 | Kalju | A | 1:1 | 1:0 | 35' | 1.76 | 3.43 | 3.70 | D |
| 2026-05-31 | Kuressaare | H | 1:1 | 1:0 | 16' | 1.31 | 4.95 | 7.47 | D |
| 2026-05-20 | Narva | A | 1:0 | 0:0 | 92' | 3.91 | 4.09 | 1.63 | L |
| 2026-05-17 | Levadia | H | 1:3 | 1:3 | 11' | 5.22 | 4.04 | 1.50 | L |
| 2026-05-10 | Nomme Utd | A | 2:3 | 0:2 | 9' | 3.39 | 3.67 | 1.85 | W |
| 2026-05-01 | Tammeka | H | 0:1 | 0:0 | 88' | 1.36 | 4.85 | 6.17 | L |
| 2026-04-26 | Flora | H | 1:2 | 1:0 | 2' | 2.04 | 3.46 | 3.04 | L |
| 2026-04-22 | Harju JK Laagri | A | 2:2 | 1:1 | 18' | 4.06 | 3.79 | 1.62 | D |
| 2026-04-19 | Kalju | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 67' | 2.55 | 3.22 | 2.32 | W |
| 2026-04-12 | Tammeka | A | 1:4 | 0:3 | 22' | 3.91 | 3.97 | 1.67 | W |
| 2026-04-08 | Nomme Utd | H | 3:1 | 1:0 | 14' | 1.50 | 4.19 | 4.88 | W |
| 2026-04-03 | Kuressaare | A | 0:1 | 0:0 | 61' | 6.02 | 4.34 | 1.37 | W |
| 2026-03-22 | Levadia | A | 2:2 | 1:1 | 17' | 1.89 | 3.44 | 3.50 | D |
| 2026-03-15 | Narva | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 97' | 1.58 | 3.93 | 4.57 | W |
| 2026-03-07 | Parnu JK Vaprus | A | 3:2 | 0:0 | 55' | 5.63 | 4.33 | 1.43 | L |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Paide score
53 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 75-90' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Paide matches
either side scoring — 23 of 33 matches saw a first-half opener; 0 stayed goalless
Match stats
averages over 28 matches with stat coverageGo deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+