Paide are 3rd in the 2026 Meistriliiga after 26 matches — 45 points from a 13-6-7 record, 42 goals scored and 33 conceded. Their points and market-implied expected points (43.2) are within a couple of points — a table position the performances support. Form over the last five: DWWLW, 10 points. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match; 50% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 6 clean sheets and 3 blanks in front of goal. Biggest win: 4:1 against Tammeka.
Of their 42 goals, the most (10) have come in the 75-90 minute band. 13 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Paide match has come before half-time 17 times in 26.
Collected 1.8 more points than market odds expected (43.2 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. The bookmaker margin usually wins — shown because we publish losers too.
10 points from the last five. Avg 1.6 scored, 1.3 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
league hub →
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paide– Harju JK Laagri | 2026-09-13 | 11:30 | BTTS: No ✓ | 47.6% | 44.6% | ▲ +2.9% | 2.24 |
All 2026 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 |  Tammeka | A | 0:2 | 0:1 | 28' | 2.97 | 3.58 | 2.02 | W |
| 2026-09-06 |  Levadia | H | 0:2 | 0:0 | 68' | 5.86 | 4.60 | 1.39 | L |
| 2026-08-30 |  Flora | A | 1:2 | 0:0 | 47' | 2.84 | 3.63 | 1.99 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | Nomme Utd | H | 4:1 | 1:1 | 27' | 1.51 | 4.22 | 4.51 | W |
| 2026-08-16 |  Narva | A | 1:1 | 1:0 | 4' | 3.89 | 3.71 | 1.72 | D |
| 2026-08-02 |  Kuressaare | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 93' | 1.60 | 3.87 | 4.45 | W |
| 2026-07-19 |  Harju JK Laagri | A | 5:2 | 5:1 | 10' | 2.83 | 3.51 | 2.05 | L |
| 2026-07-04 |  Parnu JK Vaprus | H | 3:1 | 2:1 | 15' | 1.46 | 4.28 | 5.23 | W |
| 2026-06-28 |  Kalju | A | 1:1 | 0:0 | 66' | 2.26 | 3.21 | 2.70 | D |
| 2026-06-21 | Flora | A | 1:2 | 1:1 | 5' | 1.89 | 3.34 | 3.61 | W |
| 2026-06-17 | Harju JK Laagri | H | 1:0 | 1:0 | 24' | 1.41 | 4.46 | 5.92 | W |
| 2026-06-14 | Kalju | A | 1:1 | 1:0 | 35' | 1.82 | 3.53 | 3.68 | D |
| 2026-05-31 | Kuressaare | H | 1:1 | 1:0 | 16' | 1.31 | 4.95 | 7.47 | D |
| 2026-05-20 | Narva | A | 1:0 | 0:0 | 92' | 3.67 | 3.87 | 1.74 | L |
| 2026-05-17 | Levadia | H | 1:3 | 1:3 | 11' | 4.92 | 3.93 | 1.49 | L |
| 2026-05-10 | Nomme Utd | A | 2:3 | 0:2 | 9' | 3.39 | 3.67 | 1.85 | W |
| 2026-05-01 | Tammeka | H | 0:1 | 0:0 | 88' | 1.35 | 4.67 | 5.85 | L |
| 2026-04-26 | Flora | H | 1:2 | 1:0 | 2' | 2.04 | 3.46 | 3.04 | L |
| 2026-04-22 | Harju JK Laagri | A | 2:2 | 1:1 | 18' | 4.06 | 3.79 | 1.62 | D |
| 2026-04-19 | Kalju | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 67' | 2.60 | 3.26 | 2.39 | W |
| 2026-04-12 | Tammeka | A | 1:4 | 0:3 | 22' | 3.91 | 3.97 | 1.67 | W |
| 2026-04-08 | Nomme Utd | H | 3:1 | 1:0 | 14' | 1.48 | 4.15 | 4.83 | W |
| 2026-04-03 | Kuressaare | A | 0:1 | 0:0 | 61' | 6.02 | 4.34 | 1.37 | W |
| 2026-03-22 | Levadia | A | 2:2 | 1:1 | 17' | 1.89 | 3.44 | 3.50 | D |
| 2026-03-15 | Narva | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 97' | 1.58 | 3.93 | 4.57 | W |
| 2026-03-07 | Parnu JK Vaprus | A | 3:2 | 0:0 | 55' | 5.63 | 4.33 | 1.43 | L |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Paide score
42 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 75-90' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Paide matches
either side scoring — 17 of 26 matches saw a first-half opener; 0 stayed goalless
Go deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+