Atletico-MG are 8th in the 2026 Serie A after 25 matches — 36 points from a 10-6-9 record, 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 32.6 — 3.4 more than they have banked; the underlying numbers place them 14th. The 1:2 against Palmeiras was the kindest result. Form over the last five: DWDWL, 8 points. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match; 48% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 6 clean sheets and 9 blanks in front of goal. Biggest win: 4:0 against Chapecoense-SC.
Of their 32 goals, the most (10) have come in the 60-75 minute band. 4 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Atletico-MG match has come before half-time 18 times in 25, and 1 match finished goalless.
Collected 3.4 more points than market odds expected (32.6 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
8 points from the last five. Avg 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
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| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico-MG– Fluminense | 2026-09-12 | 19:00 | Under 1.5 HT ✓ | 77.8% | 75.8% | ▲ +2.0% | 1.32 |
All 2026 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 |  Sao Paulo | A | 2:0 | 0:0 | 67' | 1.86 | 3.14 | 3.96 | L |
| 2026-08-29 |  Vitoria | H | 2:1 | 1:0 | 25' | 1.88 | 3.36 | 4.22 | W |
| 2026-08-22 |  Internacional | A | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 1.78 | 3.43 | 4.61 | D |
| 2026-08-16 |  Gremio | H | 3:0 | 1:0 | 19' | 1.71 | 3.54 | 4.94 | W |
| 2026-08-08 |  Remo | A | 2:2 | 1:2 | 3' | 2.67 | 3.09 | 2.67 | D |
| 2026-07-26 |  Palmeiras | A | 1:2 | 0:0 | 54' | 1.59 | 3.68 | 5.99 | W |
| 2026-07-21 |  Bahia | H | 1:1 | 1:0 | 46' | 1.81 | 3.34 | 3.74 | D |
| 2026-05-31 |  Vasco | A | 0:1 | 0:1 | 32' | 1.85 | 3.32 | 3.76 | W |
| 2026-05-24 |  Corinthians | A | 1:0 | 0:0 | 88' | 1.77 | 3.13 | 4.49 | L |
| 2026-05-16 |  Mirassol | H | 3:1 | 1:1 | 17' | 1.94 | 3.31 | 3.92 | W |
| 2026-05-10 |  Botafogo RJ | H | 1:1 | 1:0 | 23' | 2.17 | 3.33 | 3.21 | D |
| 2026-05-03 |  Cruzeiro | A | 1:3 | 0:2 | 12' | 1.83 | 3.31 | 4.61 | W |
| 2026-04-27 |  Flamengo RJ | H | 0:4 | 0:3 | 8' | 4.26 | 3.36 | 1.76 | L |
| 2026-04-19 |  Coritiba | A | 2:0 | 1:0 | 7' | 2.24 | 3.11 | 3.31 | L |
| 2026-04-12 |  Santos | A | 1:0 | 0:0 | 63' | 2.13 | 3.11 | 3.19 | L |
| 2026-04-05 |  Athletico-PR | H | 2:1 | 1:0 | 6' | 2.01 | 3.14 | 3.55 | W |
| 2026-04-02 |  Chapecoense-SC | A | 0:4 | 0:3 | 23' | 3.34 | 3.22 | 2.20 | W |
| 2026-03-21 |  Fluminense | A | 1:0 | 1:0 | 29' | 1.65 | 3.58 | 5.74 | L |
| 2026-03-19 | Sao Paulo | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 64' | 2.22 | 2.87 | 3.10 | W |
| 2026-03-14 | Vitoria | A | 2:0 | 1:0 | 20' | 2.27 | 2.94 | 3.10 | L |
| 2026-03-11 | Internacional | H | 1:0 | 1:0 | 2' | 1.97 | 3.27 | 3.42 | W |
| 2026-02-26 | Gremio | A | 2:1 | 0:0 | 51' | 2.12 | 3.13 | 3.16 | L |
| 2026-02-12 | Remo | H | 3:3 | 1:1 | 22' | 1.43 | 4.42 | 7.28 | D |
| 2026-02-04 |  Bragantino | A | 1:0 | 1:0 | 38' | 2.07 | 3.15 | 3.76 | L |
| 2026-01-28 | Palmeiras | H | 2:2 | 1:1 | 27' | 2.89 | 2.97 | 2.36 | D |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Atletico-MG score
32 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 60-75' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Atletico-MG matches
either side scoring — 18 of 25 matches saw a first-half opener; 1 stayed goalless
Go deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+