Bahia are 2nd in the 2026 Serie A after 26 matches — 43 points from an 11-10-5 record, 40 goals scored and 32 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 37.9 — 5.1 more than they have banked; the underlying numbers place them 6th. The 0:1 against Internacional was the kindest result. Form over the last five: DDWWW, 11 points. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match; 50% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 8 clean sheets and 3 blanks in front of goal. Biggest win: 3:0 against Athletico-PR.
Of their 40 goals, the most (8) have come in the 15-30 minute band. 6 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Bahia match has come before half-time 22 times in 26, and 2 matches finished goalless.
Collected 5.1 more points than market odds expected (37.9 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
11 points from the last five. Avg 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
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| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bahia– Remo | 2026-09-15 | 23:00 | Over 1.5 HT ✓ | 45.7% | 42.0% | ▲ +3.7% | 2.38 |
All 2026 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 |  Bragantino | A | 2:3 | 2:2 | 14' | 1.88 | 3.63 | 3.79 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | Internacional | H | 3:2 | 3:1 | 16' | 1.77 | 3.62 | 4.38 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | Vitoria | A | 0:2 | 0:0 | 67' | 2.61 | 3.00 | 2.54 | W |
| 2026-08-16 |  Chapecoense-SC | A | 3:3 | 1:2 | 13' | 3.27 | 3.22 | 2.05 | D |
| 2026-08-09 | Vasco | H | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 2.00 | 3.42 | 3.61 | D |
| 2026-07-30 | Fluminense | A | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 1.66 | 3.67 | 5.03 | D |
| 2026-07-26 | Corinthians | H | 1:1 | 1:1 | 8' | 2.23 | 3.07 | 2.99 | D |
| 2026-07-21 |  Atletico-MG | A | 1:1 | 1:0 | 46' | 1.85 | 3.57 | 4.01 | D |
| 2026-07-17 | Chapecoense-SC | H | 2:0 | 2:0 | 12' | 1.39 | 4.84 | 6.89 | W |
| 2026-05-30 |  Botafogo RJ | H | 2:1 | 0:1 | 7' | 1.98 | 3.67 | 3.40 | W |
| 2026-05-26 | Coritiba | A | 3:2 | 0:1 | 26' | 2.42 | 3.10 | 2.66 | L |
| 2026-05-17 | Gremio | H | 1:1 | 0:0 | 62' | 1.60 | 3.66 | 4.45 | D |
| 2026-05-10 | Cruzeiro | H | 1:2 | 1:1 | 27' | 1.95 | 3.49 | 3.70 | L |
| 2026-05-03 | Sao Paulo | A | 2:2 | 1:0 | 17' | 1.99 | 3.36 | 3.67 | D |
| 2026-04-25 | Santos | H | 2:2 | 0:2 | 22' | 1.57 | 3.74 | 4.99 | D |
| 2026-04-19 | Flamengo RJ | A | 2:0 | 1:0 | 17' | 1.43 | 4.26 | 6.01 | L |
| 2026-04-11 | Mirassol | A | 1:2 | 1:0 | 14' | 2.13 | 3.21 | 3.09 | W |
| 2026-04-05 | Palmeiras | H | 1:2 | 0:1 | 42' | 2.45 | 3.04 | 2.71 | L |
| 2026-04-02 |  Athletico-PR | H | 3:0 | 2:0 | 3' | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.23 | W |
| 2026-03-22 | Remo | A | 4:1 | 1:1 | 32' | 2.78 | 3.02 | 2.34 | L |
| 2026-03-18 | Bragantino | H | 2:0 | 2:0 | 17' | 1.65 | 3.75 | 5.26 | W |
| 2026-03-15 | Internacional | A | 0:1 | 0:1 | 23' | 1.79 | 3.71 | 4.18 | W |
| 2026-03-12 | Vitoria | H | 1:1 | 1:1 | 47' | 1.70 | 3.65 | 5.03 | D |
| 2026-02-12 | Vasco | A | 0:1 | 0:1 | 22' | 2.24 | 3.32 | 3.08 | W |
| 2026-02-05 | Fluminense | H | 1:1 | 0:1 | 20' | 2.08 | 3.28 | 3.51 | D |
| 2026-01-29 | Corinthians | A | 1:2 | 1:2 | 12' | 2.22 | 3.34 | 3.17 | W |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Bahia score
40 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 15-30' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Bahia matches
either side scoring — 22 of 26 matches saw a first-half opener; 2 stayed goalless
Go deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+