Bahia played 20 Serie A matches in 2026, winning 8, drawing 7 and losing 5 for 31 points. Market-implied expected points say 29.6 — an overperformance of 1.4 points. Their 29 goals cluster in the 15-30 minute band; 5 arrived after the 75th minute.
Collected 1.4 more points than market odds expected (29.6 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
8 points from the last five. Avg 1.4 scored, 1.3 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
league hub →
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fluminense– Bahia | 2026-07-30 | 00:30 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 54.0% | 48.2% | ▲ +5.9% | 1.97 |
All 2026 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 |  Corinthians | H | 1:1 | 1:1 | 8' | 2.35 | 3.18 | 3.20 | D |
| 2026-07-22 |  Atletico-MG | A |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Bahia score
29 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 15-30' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Bahia matches
either side scoring — 19 of 20 matches saw a first-half opener; 0 stayed goalless
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
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