Serie A Betanohub →Serie A Betano 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 50 | 39.4 | +10.6Outperforming ++ | 13 | +7.0 | +3.6 | 0:1 vs Internacional (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Corinthians (-1.4) |
2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 63 | 52.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.4 | +4.8 | 0:3 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Atletico-MG (-2.0) |
3 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 47 | 40.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 10 | +7.2 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Palmeiras (+2.3) | 1:1 vs Chapecoense-SC (-1.2) |
4 | Coritiba | 29 | 38 | 32.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 18 | -0.6 | +6.6 | 1:2 vs Cruzeiro (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Sao Paulo (-1.4) |
5 | Fluminense | 30 | 51 | 45.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +8.2 | -3.0 | 1:3 vs Corinthians (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Vasco (-1.6) |
6 | Bahia | 30 | 49 | 44.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | -0.4 | +5.4 | 0:1 vs Internacional (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Cruzeiro (-1.7) |
7 | Flamengo RJ | 30 | 64 | 60.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 1 | +2.1 | +1.4 | 1:2 vs Fluminense (+1.5) | 0:3 vs Palmeiras (-1.9) |
8 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 48 | 44.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 4 | -0.1 | +3.6 | 1:2 vs Corinthians (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Coritiba (-2.3) |
9 | Vitoria | 30 | 36 | 33.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 17 | +9.8 | -7.4 | 2:0 vs Sao Paulo (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Bahia (-1.3) |
10 | Santos | 30 | 42 | 40.3 | +1.7On expectation | 11 | -2.2 | +3.8 | 0:1 vs Corinthians (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Coritiba (-2.1) |
11 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 35 | 36.8 | -1.8On expectation | 15 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Cruzeiro (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Remo (-2.0) |
12 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 39 | 42.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 8 | +4.7 | -7.8 | 2:1 vs Flamengo RJ (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense-SC (-1.7) |
13 | Bragantino | 29 | 37 | 40.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 12 | -2.9 | -0.4 | 3:0 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Botafogo RJ (-1.8) |
14 | Remo | 30 | 25 | 29.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 19 | -4.0 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs Botafogo RJ (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Coritiba (-1.7) |
15 | Gremio | 30 | 31 | 36.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 16 | +3.9 | -8.9 | 2:1 vs Sao Paulo (+1.5) | 1:3 vs Corinthians (-1.2) |
16 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 18 | 24.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 20 | -3.7 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Corinthians (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Remo (-1.4) |
17 | Mirassol | 30 | 33 | 39.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 14 | -1.2 | -4.8 | 1:2 vs Internacional (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Coritiba (-2.0) |
18 | Vasco | 29 | 35 | 41.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 9 | -2.0 | -4.9 | 3:2 vs Fluminense (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Atletico-MG (-1.7) |
19 | Internacional | 30 | 32 | 42.5 | -10.5Underperforming −− | 7 | -8.2 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Santos (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Bahia (-1.8) |
20 | Corinthians | 30 | 32 | 42.5 | -10.5Underperforming −− | 6 | -7.4 | -3.1 | 0:2 vs Bragantino (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Chapecoense-SC (-2.2) |