Serie A Betanohub →Serie A Betano 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Athletico-PR | 26 | 45 | 34.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 10 | +6.1 | +4.1 | 0:1 vs Internacional (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Corinthians (-1.4) |
2 | Palmeiras | 26 | 53 | 44.8 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.7 | +5.5 | 0:3 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Atletico-MG (-2.0) |
3 | Coritiba | 26 | 37 | 29.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 17 | -0.4 | +7.9 | 1:2 vs Cruzeiro (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Sao Paulo (-1.4) |
4 | Bahia | 26 | 43 | 37.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | -2.3 | +7.3 | 0:1 vs Internacional (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Cruzeiro (-1.7) |
5 | Fluminense | 26 | 45 | 40.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 3 | +7.4 | -3.2 | 2:3 vs Santos (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Vasco (-1.6) |
6 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 36 | 32.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 14 | +4.1 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Palmeiras (+2.3) | 3:3 vs Remo (-1.2) |
7 | Vitoria | 26 | 32 | 28.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 18 | +10.0 | -6.8 | 2:0 vs Sao Paulo (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Bahia (-1.3) |
8 | Flamengo RJ | 26 | 54 | 51.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 1 | 0.0 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs Fluminense (+1.5) | 0:3 vs Palmeiras (-1.9) |
9 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 42 | 39.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 4 | -1.3 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Corinthians (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Coritiba (-2.3) |
10 | Botafogo RJ | 25 | 31 | 31.2 | -0.2On expectation | 15 | -1.2 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Cruzeiro (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Remo (-2.0) |
11 | Bragantino | 25 | 35 | 35.5 | -0.6On expectation | 8 | -2.1 | +1.5 | 3:0 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Botafogo RJ (-1.8) |
12 | Santos | 25 | 32 | 34.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 12 | -3.7 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Corinthians (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Coritiba (-2.1) |
13 | Sao Paulo | 25 | 33 | 35.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 9 | +4.0 | -6.3 | 2:1 vs Flamengo RJ (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Chapecoense-SC (-1.7) |
14 | Gremio | 25 | 28 | 30.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 16 | +5.3 | -7.9 | 2:1 vs Sao Paulo (+1.5) | 1:3 vs Corinthians (-1.2) |
15 | Remo | 26 | 23 | 25.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 19 | -2.1 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Botafogo RJ (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Coritiba (-1.7) |
16 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 17 | 21.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 20 | -2.7 | -2.0 | 1:2 vs Corinthians (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Remo (-1.4) |
17 | Mirassol | 26 | 28 | 34.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 13 | -1.9 | -4.1 | 1:2 vs Internacional (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Coritiba (-2.0) |
18 | Corinthians | 26 | 32 | 38.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 5 | -5.8 | -0.8 | 0:2 vs Bragantino (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Chapecoense-SC (-2.2) |
19 | Vasco | 25 | 25 | 34.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 11 | -1.3 | -7.8 | 3:2 vs Fluminense (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Santos (-1.7) |
20 | Internacional | 26 | 25 | 37.0 | -12.0Underperforming −− | 7 | -9.8 | -2.2 | 1:2 vs Santos (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Bahia (-1.8) |