Serie A Betanohub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Internacional | 36 | 72 | 54.3 | +17.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +9.8 | +8.0 | 0:1 vs Fluminense (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Botafogo RJ (-2.1) |
2 | Fluminense | 36 | 70 | 56.3 | +13.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | +4.5 | +9.2 | 1:2 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.2) | 0:2 vs America MG (-2.0) |
3 | Athletico | 18 | 39 | 29.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 21 | +9.9 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs PR-Flamengo RJ (+1.9) | 2:2 vs PR-Cuiaba (-0.9) |
4 | Corinthians | 36 | 61 | 52.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +7.3 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Fluminense (-1.6) |
5 | Goias | 36 | 43 | 35.4 | +7.6Outperforming ++ | 18 | +2.7 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs Santos (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Fortaleza (-1.3) |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 36 | 50 | 44.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 12 | -6.1 | +11.2 | 0:1 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Goias (-1.9) |
7 | Palmeiras | 36 | 75 | 70.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.3 | +3.8 | 1:2 vs Sao Paulo (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Athletico-PR (-2.3) |
8 | America MG | 36 | 49 | 46.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 11 | +1.6 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs Fluminense (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Fortaleza (-1.6) |
9 | MG-Goias | 1 | 3 | 0.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 55 | 0.0 | +2.6 | 0:1 vs Atletico (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Atletico (2.6) |
10 | MG-Corinthians | 1 | 3 | 0.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 52 | 0.0 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Atletico (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Atletico (2.4) |
11 | MG-America MG | 1 | 3 | 0.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 50 | 0.0 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Atletico (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Atletico (2.4) |
12 | MG-Botafogo RJ | 1 | 3 | 0.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 43 | 0.0 | +2.3 | 0:2 vs Atletico (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Atletico (2.3) |
13 | MG-Palmeiras | 1 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 36 | 0.0 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Atletico (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Atletico (2.1) |
14 | Fortaleza | 36 | 54 | 52.9 | +1.1On expectation | 6 | -4.8 | +5.9 | 1:2 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Botafogo RJ (-1.9) |
15 | PR-Palmeiras | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +0.9On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | +0.9 | 1:3 vs Athletico (+1.0) | 1:3 vs Athletico (1.0) |
16 | MG-Coritiba | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +0.6On expectation | 56 | 0.0 | +0.6 | 2:2 vs Atletico (+0.6) | 2:2 vs Atletico (0.6) |
17 | Coritiba | 36 | 41 | 40.5 | +0.5On expectation | 15 | +10.5 | -10.0 | 1:0 vs Flamengo RJ (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Athletico-PR (-1.4) |
18 | MG-Ceara | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4On expectation | 53 | 0.0 | +0.4 | 0:0 vs Atletico (+0.4) | 0:0 vs Atletico (0.4) |
19 | MG-Santos | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4On expectation | 51 | 0.0 | +0.4 | 1:1 vs Atletico (+0.4) | 1:1 vs Atletico (0.4) |
20 | MG-Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +0.3On expectation | 46 | 0.0 | +0.3 | 0:0 vs Atletico (+0.3) | 0:0 vs Atletico (0.3) |
21 | MG-Bragantino | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 42 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 1:1 vs Atletico (+0.2) | 1:1 vs Atletico (0.2) |
22 | PR-Cuiaba | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 41 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 2:2 vs Athletico (+0.2) | 2:2 vs Athletico (0.2) |
23 | PR-America MG | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 1:1 vs Athletico (+0.1) | 1:1 vs Athletico (0.1) |
24 | PR-Fortaleza | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 1:1 vs Athletico (+-0.0) | 1:1 vs Athletico (-0.0) |
25 | PR-Santos | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 2:2 vs Athletico (+-0.1) | 2:2 vs Athletico (-0.1) |
26 | Avai | 36 | 35 | 35.1 | -0.1On expectation | 19 | +1.9 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.7) | 1:2 vs Atletico GO (-1.6) |
27 | PR-Internacional | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs Athletico (+-0.1) | 0:0 vs Athletico (-0.1) |
28 | PR-Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Athletico (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Athletico (-0.2) |
29 | MG-Juventude | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3On expectation | 58 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:0 vs Atletico (+-0.3) | 1:0 vs Atletico (-0.3) |
30 | MG-Avai | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3On expectation | 57 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 2:1 vs Atletico (+-0.3) | 2:1 vs Atletico (-0.3) |
31 | MG-Atletico GO | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4On expectation | 54 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 2:0 vs Atletico (+-0.4) | 2:0 vs Atletico (-0.4) |
32 | PR-Juventude | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6On expectation | 48 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 2:0 vs Athletico (+-0.6) | 2:0 vs Athletico (-0.6) |
33 | MG-Cuiaba | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6On expectation | 49 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 3:0 vs Atletico (+-0.6) | 3:0 vs Atletico (-0.6) |
34 | MG-Internacional | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6On expectation | 47 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 2:0 vs Atletico (+-0.6) | 2:0 vs Atletico (-0.6) |
35 | PR-Avai | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 45 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 2:1 vs Athletico (+-0.7) | 2:1 vs Athletico (-0.7) |
36 | PR-Goias | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 44 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 3:2 vs Athletico (+-0.7) | 3:2 vs Athletico (-0.7) |
37 | PR-Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Athletico (+-0.8) | 1:0 vs Athletico (-0.8) |
38 | MG-Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:0 vs Atletico (+-0.8) | 2:0 vs Atletico (-0.8) |
39 | MG-Fortaleza | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 3:2 vs Atletico (+-0.9) | 3:2 vs Atletico (-0.9) |
40 | PR-Atletico GO | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 4:1 vs Athletico (+-1.0) | 4:1 vs Athletico (-1.0) |
41 | MG-Flamengo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 2:0 vs Atletico (+-1.0) | 2:0 vs Atletico (-1.0) |
42 | PR-Sao Paulo | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs Athletico (+-1.0) | 1:0 vs Athletico (-1.0) |
43 | PR-Ceara | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Athletico (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs Athletico (-1.1) |
44 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 19 | 20.1 | -1.1On expectation | 22 | -1.1 | -0.1 | 0:2 vs Palmeiras (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Goias (-1.3) |
45 | PR-Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 3:0 vs Athletico (+-1.1) | 3:0 vs Athletico (-1.1) |
46 | PR-Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 4:2 vs Athletico (+-1.5) | 4:2 vs Athletico (-1.5) |
47 | PR-Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs Athletico (+-1.5) | 1:0 vs Athletico (-1.5) |
48 | PR-Flamengo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -1.6 | 1:0 vs Athletico (+-1.7) | 1:0 vs Athletico (-1.7) |
49 | Cuiaba | 36 | 40 | 41.7 | -1.7On expectation | 14 | -1.4 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Fortaleza (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Goias (-1.9) |
50 | Santos | 36 | 45 | 47.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 10 | -1.3 | -1.3 | 0:2 vs Bragantino (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Goias (-2.0) |
51 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 29 | 32.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 20 | -2.1 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs Corinthians (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Athletico-PR (-2.1) |
52 | Sao Paulo | 36 | 53 | 56.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 3 | -4.6 | +0.8 | 0:2 vs Ceara (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Botafogo RJ (-1.9) |
53 | Flamengo RJ | 36 | 62 | 67.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 2 | -4.6 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs America MG (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Avai (-2.6) |
54 | Atletico GO | 36 | 36 | 43.9 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 13 | -5.0 | -2.8 | 0:2 vs Fluminense (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Goias (-1.9) |
55 | Bragantino | 36 | 43 | 51.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 8 | -3.3 | -5.0 | 0:1 vs Ceara (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Botafogo RJ (-1.9) |
56 | Atletico | 18 | 29 | 38.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 16 | -9.7 | 0.0 | 2:0 vs MG-Flamengo RJ (+1.3) | 0:1 vs MG-Goias (-2.5) |
57 | Ceara | 36 | 36 | 49.1 | -13.1Underperforming −− | 9 | -11.0 | -2.1 | 2:3 vs Palmeiras (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Botafogo RJ (-1.9) |
58 | Juventude | 36 | 22 | 37.4 | -15.4Underperforming −− | 17 | -9.6 | -5.8 | 1:2 vs Avai (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Cuiaba (-1.7) |
