Serie A Betanohub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Fluminense | 36 | 60 | 46.9 | +13.1Outperforming ++ | 10 | +10.7 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Gremio (-1.4) |
2 | Internacional | 36 | 68 | 58.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 5 | +6.8 | +3.0 | 1:5 vs Sao Paulo (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (-2.1) |
3 | Atletico | 18 | 46 | 37.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 17 | +8.5 | 0.0 | 4:0 vs MG-Flamengo RJ (+1.5) | 0:0 vs MG-Sport Recife (-1.5) |
4 | Santos | 36 | 54 | 47.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 9 | +4.5 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs Sao Paulo (+2.4) | 3:4 vs Goias (-2.3) |
5 | Atletico GO | 36 | 50 | 43.9 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 13 | +0.5 | +5.7 | 3:0 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Goias (-2.0) |
6 | Goias | 36 | 37 | 32.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 20 | +2.6 | +2.4 | 3:4 vs Santos (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Fortaleza (-1.4) |
7 | Sport Recife | 36 | 41 | 37.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 16 | +3.0 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs Gremio (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Botafogo RJ (-1.5) |
8 | Athletico | 18 | 32 | 28.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 21 | +3.1 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs PR-Flamengo RJ (+2.2) | 0:1 vs PR-Fluminense (-1.8) |
9 | Sao Paulo | 36 | 65 | 62.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 2 | +1.6 | +1.4 | 2:1 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Botafogo RJ (-2.3) |
10 | Ceara | 36 | 51 | 48.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 7 | -3.3 | +6.0 | 0:2 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Atletico GO (-1.7) |
11 | PR-Fluminense | 1 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 38 | 0.0 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Athletico (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Athletico (2.1) |
12 | PR-Corinthians | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Athletico (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Athletico (1.9) |
13 | PR-Gremio | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Athletico (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Athletico (1.8) |
14 | PR-Palmeiras | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Athletico (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Athletico (1.5) |
15 | MG-Sport Recife | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +0.6On expectation | 57 | 0.0 | +0.6 | 0:0 vs Atletico (+0.6) | 0:0 vs Atletico (0.6) |
16 | MG-Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4On expectation | 52 | 0.0 | +0.4 | 1:1 vs Atletico (+0.4) | 1:1 vs Atletico (0.4) |
17 | MG-Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4On expectation | 49 | 0.0 | +0.4 | 1:1 vs Atletico (+0.4) | 1:1 vs Atletico (0.4) |
18 | MG-Internacional | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.1On expectation | 42 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 2:2 vs Atletico (+0.2) | 2:2 vs Atletico (0.2) |
19 | PR-Botafogo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1On expectation | 41 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 1:1 vs Athletico (+0.1) | 1:1 vs Athletico (0.1) |
20 | PR-Ceara | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.0On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0:0 vs Athletico (+-0.0) | 0:0 vs Athletico (-0.0) |
21 | Corinthians | 36 | 48 | 48.2 | -0.2On expectation | 8 | +2.0 | -2.2 | 1:0 vs Sao Paulo (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Bragantino (-1.4) |
22 | PR-Bragantino | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Athletico (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Athletico (-0.2) |
23 | MG-Santos | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3On expectation | 58 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 2:0 vs Atletico (+-0.3) | 2:0 vs Atletico (-0.3) |
24 | MG-Goias | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4On expectation | 56 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 3:0 vs Atletico (+-0.4) | 3:0 vs Atletico (-0.4) |
25 | PR-Goias | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5On expectation | 55 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 2:1 vs Athletico (+-0.5) | 2:1 vs Athletico (-0.5) |
26 | PR-Internacional | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 0:0 vs Athletico (+-0.5) | 0:0 vs Athletico (-0.5) |
27 | MG-Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5On expectation | 54 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 2:0 vs Atletico (+-0.5) | 2:0 vs Atletico (-0.5) |
28 | MG-Vasco | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.5On expectation | 53 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 4:1 vs Atletico (+-0.5) | 4:1 vs Atletico (-0.5) |
29 | PR-Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 1:1 vs Athletico (+-0.6) | 1:1 vs Athletico (-0.6) |
30 | MG-Atletico GO | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6On expectation | 51 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 3:1 vs Atletico (+-0.6) | 3:1 vs Atletico (-0.6) |
31 | MG-Fortaleza | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6On expectation | 50 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 2:0 vs Atletico (+-0.6) | 2:0 vs Atletico (-0.6) |
32 | Vasco | 36 | 41 | 41.6 | -0.7On expectation | 14 | +0.3 | -1.0 | 3:2 vs Atletico-MG (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Coritiba (-1.9) |
33 | Flamengo RJ | 36 | 71 | 71.7 | -0.7On expectation | 1 | -3.8 | +3.1 | 2:4 vs Gremio (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Ceara (-2.3) |
34 | PR-Santos | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 47 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Athletico (+-0.7) | 1:0 vs Athletico (-0.7) |
35 | MG-Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 48 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 2:0 vs Atletico (+-0.7) | 2:0 vs Atletico (-0.7) |
36 | MG-Ceara | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 46 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 2:0 vs Atletico (+-0.7) | 2:0 vs Atletico (-0.7) |
37 | MG-Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 44 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Atletico (+-0.8) | 2:1 vs Atletico (-0.8) |
38 | MG-Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 45 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Atletico (+-0.8) | 2:1 vs Atletico (-0.8) |
39 | MG-Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 43 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 3:1 vs Atletico (+-0.8) | 3:1 vs Atletico (-0.8) |
40 | PR-Sport Recife | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 40 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Athletico (+-0.9) | 2:0 vs Athletico (-0.9) |
41 | PR-Atletico GO | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 39 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs Athletico (+-0.9) | 2:1 vs Athletico (-0.9) |
42 | PR-Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs Athletico (+-1.0) | 1:0 vs Athletico (-1.0) |
43 | PR-Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3:0 vs Athletico (+-1.0) | 3:0 vs Athletico (-1.0) |
44 | MG-Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3:2 vs Atletico (+-1.0) | 3:2 vs Atletico (-1.0) |
45 | MG-Sao Paulo | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3:0 vs Atletico (+-1.0) | 3:0 vs Atletico (-1.0) |
46 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 21 | 22.0 | -1.0On expectation | 22 | -1.0 | -0.0 | 0:2 vs Atletico-MG (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Sport Recife (-1.4) |
47 | PR-Fortaleza | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Athletico (+-1.1) | 2:1 vs Athletico (-1.1) |
48 | PR-Bahia | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs Athletico (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs Athletico (-1.1) |
49 | MG-Flamengo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 4:0 vs Atletico (+-1.3) | 4:0 vs Atletico (-1.3) |
50 | PR-Flamengo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1.9 | -1.9On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -1.9 | 2:1 vs Athletico (+-1.9) | 2:1 vs Athletico (-1.9) |
51 | Bragantino | 36 | 52 | 54.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 6 | +3.2 | -5.2 | 4:2 vs Sao Paulo (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Coritiba (-2.0) |
52 | Bahia | 36 | 43 | 46.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 11 | +1.0 | -4.3 | 3:1 vs Atletico-MG (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (-1.8) |
53 | Gremio | 36 | 56 | 60.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 3 | +0.6 | -5.5 | 0:1 vs Fluminense (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Sport Recife (-2.2) |
54 | Fortaleza | 36 | 41 | 45.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 12 | +1.7 | -6.6 | 2:1 vs Atletico-MG (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Athletico-PR (-1.7) |
55 | Palmeiras | 36 | 55 | 60.6 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 4 | +0.4 | -6.0 | 3:0 vs Atletico-MG (+1.5) | 1:3 vs Coritiba (-2.1) |
56 | Coritiba | 36 | 31 | 36.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 18 | -4.8 | -1.0 | 1:3 vs Palmeiras (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Goias (-1.6) |
57 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 22 | 32.6 | -10.6Underperforming −− | 19 | -1.9 | -8.7 | 0:1 vs Flamengo RJ (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Goias (-2.2) |
58 | Botafogo RJ | 36 | 26 | 39.4 | -13.4Underperforming −− | 15 | -9.9 | -3.5 | 1:0 vs Sao Paulo (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Fortaleza (-1.6) |
