Fluminense are 4th in the 2026 Serie A after 26 matches — 45 points from a 12-9-5 record, 40 goals scored and 32 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 40.8 — 4.2 more than they have banked. The 2:3 against Santos was the kindest result. Form over the last five: DWWDW, 11 points. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match; 50% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 5 clean sheets and 3 blanks in front of goal. Biggest win: 2:0 against Remo.
Of their 40 goals, the most (9) have come in the 75-90 minute band. 11 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Fluminense match has come before half-time 20 times in 26, and 1 match finished goalless.
Collected 4.2 more points than market odds expected (40.8 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. The bookmaker margin usually wins — shown because we publish losers too.
11 points from the last five. Avg 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
league hub →
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico-MG– Fluminense | 2026-09-12 | 19:00 | Under 1.5 HT ✓ | 77.8% | 75.8% | ▲ +2.0% | 1.32 |
All 2026 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vasco | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 61' | 2.26 | 2.96 | 2.99 | W |
| 2026-08-30 |  Athletico-PR | A | 3:3 | 1:1 | 35' | 2.31 | 3.06 | 3.21 | D |
| 2026-08-22 | Remo | H | 2:1 | 0:1 | 31' | 1.45 | 3.87 | 6.36 | W |
| 2026-08-15 | Palmeiras | H | 3:2 | 1:1 | 10' | 2.97 | 3.11 | 2.44 | W |
| 2026-08-09 |  Botafogo RJ | A | 1:1 | 1:0 | 44' | 2.25 | 3.13 | 3.25 | D |
| 2026-07-30 |  Bahia | H | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 1.63 | 3.55 | 4.72 | D |
| 2026-07-26 | Gremio | A | 1:1 | 0:0 | 65' | 3.28 | 3.10 | 2.08 | D |
| 2026-07-18 |  Bragantino | H | 1:1 | 0:1 | 27' | 1.82 | 3.52 | 4.29 | D |
| 2026-06-01 | Cruzeiro | A | 1:1 | 0:1 | 43' | 1.88 | 3.36 | 4.18 | D |
| 2026-05-23 | Mirassol | A | 1:0 | 1:0 | 36' | 2.47 | 2.89 | 2.78 | L |
| 2026-05-16 | Sao Paulo | H | 2:1 | 2:0 | 19' | 1.67 | 3.48 | 4.54 | W |
| 2026-05-09 | Vitoria | H | 2:2 | 1:0 | 36' | 1.47 | 3.86 | 5.55 | D |
| 2026-05-03 | Internacional | A | 2:0 | 1:0 | 39' | 2.09 | 3.06 | 3.20 | L |
| 2026-04-27 |  Chapecoense-SC | H | 2:1 | 0:0 | 56' | 1.29 | 5.37 | 9.31 | W |
| 2026-04-19 | Santos | A | 2:3 | 1:1 | 9' | 2.16 | 3.10 | 3.13 | W |
| 2026-04-12 | Flamengo RJ | H | 1:2 | 0:1 | 7' | 3.10 | 3.03 | 2.42 | L |
| 2026-04-05 | Coritiba | A | 1:1 | 0:0 | 74' | 3.09 | 2.98 | 2.47 | D |
| 2026-04-02 | Corinthians | H | 3:1 | 2:0 | 20' | 1.82 | 3.33 | 4.67 | W |
| 2026-03-21 |  Atletico-MG | H | 1:0 | 1:0 | 29' | 1.65 | 3.58 | 5.74 | W |
| 2026-03-19 | Vasco | A | 3:2 | 0:1 | 1' | 3.34 | 2.98 | 2.06 | L |
| 2026-03-15 | Athletico-PR | H | 3:2 | 2:1 | 5' | 1.80 | 3.43 | 4.60 | W |
| 2026-03-12 | Remo | A | 0:2 | 0:1 | 16' | 3.91 | 3.52 | 1.89 | W |
| 2026-02-26 | Palmeiras | A | 2:1 | 2:1 | 9' | 1.63 | 3.60 | 4.65 | L |
| 2026-02-12 | Botafogo RJ | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 55' | 1.80 | 3.27 | 4.91 | W |
| 2026-02-05 | Bahia | A | 1:1 | 0:1 | 20' | 2.04 | 3.13 | 3.36 | D |
| 2026-01-28 | Gremio | H | 2:1 | 0:0 | 46' | 1.59 | 3.92 | 5.65 | W |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Fluminense score
40 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 75-90' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Fluminense matches
either side scoring — 20 of 26 matches saw a first-half opener; 1 stayed goalless
Go deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+