Athletico-PR are 3rd in the 2026 Serie A after 26 matches — 45 points from a 13-6-7 record, 38 goals scored and 28 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 34.8 — 10.2 more than they have banked; the underlying numbers place them 10th. The 0:1 against Internacional was the kindest result. Form over the last five: WDWDL, 8 points. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match; 46% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 8 clean sheets and 6 blanks in front of goal. Biggest win: 4:1 against Botafogo RJ.
Of their 38 goals, the most (7) have come in each of the 0-15 and 75-90 minute bands. 10 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Athletico-PR match has come before half-time 21 times in 26, and 2 matches finished goalless.
Collected 10.2 more points than market odds expected (34.8 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
8 points from the last five. Avg 1.5 scored, 1.1 conceded per match.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
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| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coritiba– Athletico-PR | 2026-09-12 | 00:00 | Home win ✓ | 37.4% | 32.1% | ▲ +5.3% | 3.12 |
All 2026 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 |  Cruzeiro | A | 3:1 | 1:1 | 30' | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.60 | L |
| 2026-08-30 |  Fluminense | H | 3:3 | 1:1 | 35' | 2.31 | 3.06 | 3.21 | D |
| 2026-08-25 |  Botafogo RJ | A | 2:3 | 0:2 | 11' | 2.28 | 3.12 | 2.85 | W |
| 2026-08-15 |  Bragantino | H | 1:1 | 0:0 | 67' | 1.95 | 3.13 | 3.67 | D |
| 2026-08-09 |  Santos | A | 0:2 | 0:2 | 14' | 2.06 | 3.22 | 3.62 | W |
| 2026-07-30 |  Corinthians | A | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 2.17 | 2.92 | 3.34 | D |
| 2026-07-25 |  Internacional | H | 2:0 | 1:0 | 46' | 1.97 | 3.26 | 3.88 | W |
| 2026-07-23 |  Sao Paulo | A | 1:2 | 1:0 | 19' | 1.96 | 3.06 | 3.70 | W |
| 2026-05-30 |  Mirassol | H | 1:0 | 0:0 | 88' | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.19 | W |
| 2026-05-24 |  Remo | A | 1:2 | 1:1 | 14' | 2.15 | 3.21 | 3.40 | W |
| 2026-05-17 |  Flamengo RJ | H | 1:1 | 1:0 | 11' | 3.58 | 3.23 | 2.09 | D |
| 2026-05-11 |  Vasco | A | 1:0 | 1:0 | 37' | 1.79 | 3.39 | 4.65 | L |
| 2026-05-03 |  Gremio | H | 0:0 | 0:0 | — | 1.73 | 3.40 | 5.03 | D |
| 2026-04-26 |  Vitoria | H | 3:1 | 1:1 | 22' | 1.58 | 3.52 | 5.38 | W |
| 2026-04-19 |  Palmeiras | A | 1:0 | 1:0 | 15' | 1.58 | 3.75 | 6.01 | L |
| 2026-04-12 |  Chapecoense-SC | H | 2:0 | 0:0 | 57' | 1.43 | 4.04 | 5.70 | W |
| 2026-04-05 |  Atletico-MG | A | 2:1 | 1:0 | 6' | 2.15 | 3.21 | 3.41 | L |
| 2026-04-02 |  Bahia | A | 3:0 | 2:0 | 3' | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.23 | L |
| 2026-03-29 | Botafogo RJ | H | 4:1 | 2:1 | 4' | 1.97 | 3.30 | 3.91 | W |
| 2026-03-22 | Coritiba | H | 2:0 | 1:0 | 22' | 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.41 | W |
| 2026-03-18 | Cruzeiro | H | 2:1 | 2:0 | 1' | 2.09 | 3.08 | 3.30 | W |
| 2026-03-15 | Fluminense | A | 3:2 | 2:1 | 5' | 1.80 | 3.43 | 4.60 | L |
| 2026-02-25 | Bragantino | A | 1:1 | 1:0 | 44' | 2.02 | 3.30 | 3.79 | D |
| 2026-02-19 | Corinthians | H | 0:1 | 0:1 | 20' | 2.49 | 2.84 | 2.82 | L |
| 2026-02-12 | Santos | H | 2:1 | 1:1 | 6' | 2.02 | 3.23 | 3.83 | W |
| 2026-01-28 | Internacional | A | 0:1 | 0:1 | 9' | 1.99 | 3.22 | 3.94 | W |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Athletico-PR score
38 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 0-15' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Athletico-PR matches
either side scoring — 21 of 26 matches saw a first-half opener; 2 stayed goalless
Go deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+