J1 Leaguehub →J1 League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 31 | 23.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.4 | +5.5 | 2:3 vs Kashima Antlers (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Nagoya Grampus (-1.9) |
2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 33 | 25.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.8 | +3.4 | 2:0 vs Kashima Antlers (+1.4) | 1:5 vs Machida (-1.5) |
3 | Machida | 14 | 29 | 22.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.5 | +5.8 | 1:5 vs FC Tokyo (+1.8) | 2:4 vs Kashiwa Reysol (-1.4) |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 27 | 21.4 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 6 | +3.8 | +1.7 | 0:3 vs Okayama (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Kawasaki Frontale (-1.6) |
5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 22 | 18.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 11 | +1.7 | +1.7 | 0:2 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+2.1) | 3:2 vs Urawa Reds (-1.1) |
6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 22 | 19.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 9 | +2.2 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Kashima Antlers (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Okayama (-1.4) |
7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 30 | 27.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 1 | +3.3 | -1.1 | 1:4 vs Urawa Reds (+1.3) | 4:0 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (-2.2) |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 22 | 20.8 | +1.2On expectation | 7 | +2.4 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Vissel Kobe (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Nagoya Grampus (-1.9) |
9 | Kyoto | 14 | 16 | 15.2 | +0.8On expectation | 16 | -0.4 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Okayama (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Mito (-1.6) |
10 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 23 | 23.4 | -0.4On expectation | 3 | +2.1 | -2.6 | 3:4 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (+1.4) | 4:2 vs Mito (-1.9) |
11 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 13 | 13.5 | -0.5On expectation | 20 | +3.5 | -4.0 | 4:0 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Verdy (-1.4) |
12 | Verdy | 14 | 14 | 14.7 | -0.7On expectation | 17 | -3.5 | +2.8 | 3:1 vs Avispa Fukuoka (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Vissel Kobe (-1.1) |
13 | Chiba | 14 | 13 | 14.1 | -1.1On expectation | 18 | +2.6 | -3.7 | 2:0 vs Gamba Osaka (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Okayama (-1.0) |
14 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 17 | 18.8 | -1.8On expectation | 10 | +1.4 | -3.2 | 2:0 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Avispa Fukuoka (-1.4) |
15 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 14 | 16.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 15 | -2.0 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Nagoya Grampus (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (-1.5) |
16 | Okayama | 14 | 17 | 20.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 8 | -1.0 | -2.2 | 3:2 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Kyoto (-1.9) |
17 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 14 | 17.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 14 | -2.6 | -0.8 | 1:3 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Kyoto (-1.8) |
18 | Mito | 14 | 9 | 13.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 19 | -2.3 | -2.3 | 4:2 vs Kashima Antlers (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.2) |
19 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 12 | 17.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 13 | -2.8 | -3.1 | 1:2 vs Avispa Fukuoka (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Chiba (-1.7) |
20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 8 | 18.1 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.7 | -7.4 | 2:1 vs Okayama (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Verdy (-1.4) |