J1 Leaguehub →J1 League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 19 | 12.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +3.5 | +2.9 | 1:0 vs Cerezo Osaka (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (-1.3) |
2 | Machida | 8 | 17 | 12.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 5 | +0.4 | +3.6 | 1:5 vs FC Tokyo (+1.8) | 2:4 vs Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5) |
3 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 14 | 10.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 13 | +1.2 | +2.8 | 0:2 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+2.1) | 3:2 vs Urawa Reds (-1.1) |
4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 18 | 14.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 3 | +0.0 | +3.6 | 2:4 vs Machida (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (-1.9) |
5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 17 | 14.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 2 | +1.2 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Gamba Osaka (+1.2) | 1:5 vs Machida (-1.5) |
6 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 12 | 10.2 | +1.8On expectation | 10 | +0.2 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Kashima Antlers (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Okayama (-1.4) |
7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 17 | 15.4 | +1.6On expectation | 1 | +1.8 | -0.2 | 1:4 vs Urawa Reds (+1.3) | 3:2 vs Okayama (-1.8) |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 13 | 11.7 | +1.3On expectation | 8 | +1.2 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Mito (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Machida (-1.1) |
9 | Okayama | 8 | 13 | 12.2 | +0.8On expectation | 7 | +0.4 | +0.5 | 3:2 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Kyoto (-1.8) |
10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 10 | 9.5 | +0.5On expectation | 15 | +0.7 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Nagoya Grampus (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (-1.5) |
11 | Mito | 8 | 9 | 8.5 | +0.5On expectation | 17 | +0.6 | -0.1 | 4:2 vs Kashima Antlers (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Kawasaki Frontale (-1.2) |
12 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 8 | 7.6 | +0.4On expectation | 19 | +2.5 | -2.2 | 2:0 vs Nagoya Grampus (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Okayama (-0.8) |
13 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 13 | 13.0 | 0.0On expectation | 4 | +0.7 | -0.7 | 3:4 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (+1.4) | 4:2 vs Mito (-1.9) |
14 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 11 | 11.1 | -0.1On expectation | 9 | +3.9 | -4.0 | 2:0 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Avispa Fukuoka (-1.4) |
15 | Kyoto | 8 | 8 | 9.2 | -1.2On expectation | 16 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Okayama (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Mito (-1.6) |
16 | Chiba | 8 | 4 | 7.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 20 | +0.1 | -3.1 | 2:0 vs Gamba Osaka (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Okayama (-1.0) |
17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 6 | 9.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 14 | +0.3 | -4.2 | 2:1 vs Okayama (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.7) |
18 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 6 | 10.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 11 | -0.4 | -3.7 | 4:3 vs Urawa Reds (+1.5) | 2:0 vs Chiba (-1.7) |
19 | Verdy | 8 | 4 | 8.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 18 | -3.7 | -0.6 | 0:0 vs Cerezo Osaka (+0.2) | 0:2 vs Vissel Kobe (-1.1) |
20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 4 | 10.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.4 | -3.7 | 3:0 vs Cerezo Osaka (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Kyoto (-1.4) |