Fastest starters
Kawasaki Frontale38%
6 of their 16 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Kashiwa Reysol47%
7 of their 15 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Kashima Antlers are 2026 champions — 33 pts
Their xPTS said 25.7: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+408.5uBlindly backing home wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-14.3 ptsKashiwa Reysol produced performances worth 14 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
35%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 33.6' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every J1 League match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima Antlers | 33 | 25.7 | +7.3 | champions — earned it |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 27 | 26.1 | +0.9 | |
| 3 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
