J1 Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kashima Antlers | 12 | 33 | 25.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.7 | +4.9 | 0:3 vs Machida (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Verdy (-1.8) |
2 | Varen Nagasaki-Nagoya Grampus | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs V (+1.8) | 1:2 vs V (1.8) |
3 | Varen Nagasaki-Kyoto | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 1:2 vs V (+1.6) | 1:2 vs V (1.6) |
4 | Pulse-Nagoya Grampus | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 0:2 vs Shimizu S (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Shimizu S (1.5) |
5 | Varen Nagasaki-Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | +1.4 | 1:3 vs V (+1.4) | 1:3 vs V (1.4) |
6 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 27 | 26.1 | +0.9On expectation | 2 | +1.3 | +7.4 | 0:3 vs Machida (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Chiba (-2.2) |
7 | Verdy | 12 | 18 | 17.7 | +0.3On expectation | 14 | +7.6 | -3.3 | 1:2 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+2.2) | 3:2 vs Chiba (-1.4) |
8 | Okayama | 9 | 15 | 15.1 | -0.1On expectation | 18 | +1.4 | +3.0 | 0:3 vs Vissel Kobe (+2.2) | 0:1 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.6) |
9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 9 | 9.1 | -0.1On expectation | 21 | -1.4 | +1.3 | 1:2 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.4) |
10 | V | 6 | 9 | 9.1 | -0.1On expectation | 20 | +0.9 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Varen Nagasaki-Cerezo Osaka (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Varen Nagasaki-Nagoya Grampus (-1.5) |
11 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 24 | 24.7 | -0.7On expectation | 6 | +5.6 | +1.6 | 2:1 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Okayama (-1.9) |
12 | Varen Nagasaki-Avispa Fukuoka | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs V (-1.1) |
13 | Pulse-Avispa Fukuoka | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — |
14 | Pulse-Okayama | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — |
15 | Pulse-Cerezo Osaka | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — |
16 | Varen Nagasaki-Okayama | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 2:1 vs V (+-1.4) | 2:1 vs V (-1.4) |
17 | Varen Nagasaki-Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs V (+-1.5) | 1:0 vs V (-1.5) |
18 | Pulse-Kyoto | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — |
19 | Varen Nagasaki-Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | -1.7On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — |
20 | Pulse-Vissel Kobe | 1 | 0 | 1.7 | -1.7On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -1.7 | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (+-1.7) | 1:0 vs Shimizu S (-1.7) |
21 | Pulse-Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -1.8 | 3:1 vs Shimizu S (+-1.7) | 3:1 vs Shimizu S (-1.7) |
22 | Shimizu S | 3 | 6 | 8.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 22 | +2.8 | 0.0 | 3:1 vs Pulse-Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Pulse-Nagoya Grampus (-1.2) |
23 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 21 | 23.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 7 | -0.7 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Verdy (-1.7) |
24 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 18 | 21.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 10 | +4.5 | +0.3 | 2:1 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+1.9) | 1:3 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.7) |
25 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 15 | 18.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 13 | -1.6 | +0.4 | 2:3 vs Urawa Reds (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Kawasaki Frontale (-1.4) |
26 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 18 | 21.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 9 | +1.6 | -1.2 | 5:3 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+1.8) | 0:5 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (-1.6) |
27 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 15 | 19.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 11 | -0.2 | +3.1 | 1:2 vs Kyoto (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Okayama (-1.7) |
28 | Machida | 9 | 21 | 25.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 5 | +1.1 | +6.0 | 0:1 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Kashima Antlers (-1.5) |
29 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 5 | 6 | 10.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 19 | -1.8 | +1.6 | 1:2 vs Kyoto (+1.9) | 1:2 vs V-Varen Nagasaki (-1.8) |
30 | Chiba | 13 | 9 | 15.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 17 | -0.3 | -2.9 | 0:3 vs FC Tokyo (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (-1.2) |
31 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 9 | 16.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 16 | -0.8 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Cerezo Osaka (-1.4) |
32 | Kyoto | 10 | 9 | 18.9 | -9.9Underperforming −− | 12 | -0.4 | -4.0 | 1:2 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.6) |
33 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 12 | 22.0 | -10.0Underperforming −− | 8 | +0.5 | -0.5 | 5:0 vs Vissel Kobe (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Avispa Fukuoka (-1.8) |
34 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 15 | 25.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 3 | -0.9 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Cerezo Osaka (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Avispa Fukuoka (-2.2) |
35 | Mito | 8 | 6 | 16.8 | -10.8Underperforming −− | 15 | +2.5 | -4.2 | 2:0 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Verdy (-1.1) |
36 | Kashiwa Reysol | 15 | 12 | 26.3 | -14.3Underperforming −− | 1 | -4.7 | -8.0 | 0:2 vs FC Tokyo (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Verdy (-2.0) |
