J1 Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gamba Osaka | 38 | 66 | 50.6 | +15.4Outperforming ++ | 10 | +9.4 | +6.0 | 3:1 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Shonan Bellmare (-1.6) |
2 | Verdy | 38 | 56 | 47.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 13 | +0.3 | +8.3 | 0:1 vs Vissel Kobe (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Shonan Bellmare (-1.5) |
3 | FC Tokyo | 38 | 54 | 46.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 15 | +1.4 | +6.3 | 0:2 vs Vissel Kobe (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Avispa Fukuoka (-1.4) |
4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 65 | 58.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +7.5 | -0.5 | 1:3 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Iwata (-1.9) |
5 | Machida | 38 | 66 | 59.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | -1.0 | +7.9 | 0:1 vs Nagoya Grampus (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Sagan Tosu (-2.0) |
6 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 50 | 45.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 16 | +0.9 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Kyoto (-1.8) |
7 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 72 | 67.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 2 | -2.7 | +6.8 | 1:3 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+1.9) | 0:2 vs FC Tokyo (-2.2) |
8 | Kyoto | 38 | 47 | 44.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 17 | -5.8 | +8.4 | 0:1 vs Vissel Kobe (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Shonan Bellmare (-1.6) |
9 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 50 | 49.5 | +0.5On expectation | 12 | -0.6 | +1.2 | 2:3 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Sagan Tosu (-1.9) |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | 52 | 51.9 | +0.1On expectation | 9 | +1.9 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Urawa Reds (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Iwata (-1.8) |
11 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 35 | 36.6 | -1.6On expectation | 20 | +0.6 | -2.2 | 0:1 vs Yokohama F. Marinos (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Nagoya Grampus (-1.3) |
12 | Shonan Bellmare | 38 | 45 | 46.8 | -1.8On expectation | 14 | -6.9 | +5.1 | 2:3 vs Urawa Reds (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Kyoto (-1.7) |
13 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 38 | 52 | 54.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 8 | -7.4 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs Vissel Kobe (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sagan Tosu (-2.1) |
14 | Iwata | 38 | 38 | 41.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 19 | -1.3 | -2.2 | 0:2 vs Kashiwa Reysol (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Sagan Tosu (-1.7) |
15 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 68 | 72.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 1 | +0.3 | -4.8 | 1:2 vs Machida (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Kyoto (-2.2) |
16 | Kawasaki Frontale | 38 | 52 | 57.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 5 | -1.2 | -4.5 | 1:4 vs Machida (+1.8) | 4:5 vs Iwata (-2.0) |
17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 38 | 37 | 43.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 18 | -1.5 | -5.3 | 3:4 vs Urawa Reds (+2.1) | 4:0 vs Sagan Tosu (-1.6) |
18 | Albirex Niigata | 38 | 42 | 50.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 11 | -9.6 | +1.3 | 1:3 vs Machida (+2.2) | 3:4 vs Sagan Tosu (-1.8) |
19 | Urawa Reds | 38 | 48 | 56.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 6 | -1.7 | -7.0 | 3:0 vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Shonan Bellmare (-1.9) |
20 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | 41 | 55.1 | -14.1Underperforming −− | 7 | -7.6 | -6.5 | 0:1 vs Vissel Kobe (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Iwata (-2.0) |
