Bundesliga Women 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern Munich W | 6 | 18 | 14.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 1 | +1.1 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+0.9) | 2:0 vs Mainz W (0.2) |
2 | Freiburg W | 6 | 10 | 7.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 11 | +1.6 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Koln W (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Bayer Leverkusen W (-0.8) |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 6 | 12 | 9.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 4 | -0.8 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Hoffenheim W (+1.3) | 1:2 vs Wolfsburg W (-1.3) |
4 | Wolfsburg W | 6 | 15 | 13.2 | +1.9On expectation | 2 | +1.3 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs Bayer Leverkusen W (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Hoffenheim W (-2.3) |
5 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 6 | 13 | 11.7 | +1.4On expectation | 3 | -0.5 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs Union Berlin W (+1.3) | 1:1 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (-1.5) |
6 | Koln W | 6 | 9 | 7.8 | +1.2On expectation | 7 | +1.2 | -0.0 | 1:0 vs Hoffenheim W (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Freiburg W (-2.0) |
7 | Stuttgart W | 6 | 8 | 7.1 | +0.9On expectation | 9 | -0.8 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs Hoffenheim W (+2.3) | 0:4 vs Union Berlin W (-1.3) |
8 | Werder Bremen W | 6 | 10 | 9.2 | +0.8On expectation | 5 | +1.3 | -0.5 | 2:0 vs RB Leipzig W (+1.3) | 1:1 vs Stuttgart W (-0.9) |
9 | Hamburger SV W | 6 | 5 | 5.4 | -0.4On expectation | 12 | +1.5 | -1.9 | 5:1 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Stuttgart W (-0.8) |
10 | Union Berlin W | 6 | 6 | 7.1 | -1.1On expectation | 10 | -0.0 | -1.1 | 0:4 vs Stuttgart W (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Freiburg W (-1.4) |
11 | RB Leipzig W | 6 | 7 | 8.6 | -1.6On expectation | 6 | +1.2 | -2.8 | 2:1 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (+1.2) | 3:2 vs Union Berlin W (-1.1) |
12 | Hoffenheim W | 6 | 6 | 7.6 | -1.6On expectation | 8 | -0.6 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs Wolfsburg W (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Stuttgart W (-2.1) |
13 | Mainz W | 6 | 0 | 3.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 14 | -1.9 | -1.4 | 2:0 vs Bayern Munich W (+-0.2) | 0:4 vs Koln W (-0.8) |
14 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 6 | 2 | 5.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 13 | -1.4 | -1.9 | 1:1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+0.6) | 5:1 vs Hamburger SV W (-1.6) |
