Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 18 OctThe season in numbers
HT Under 1.5 paid out more than the market charged: +8.0% at market prices across 45 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
1.FC Nurnberg W produced performances worth 3 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 25.6' on average.
Add Frauen-Bundesliga fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 18 OctWe simulate the remaining Frauen-Bundesliga schedule 10,000 times a day. Bayern Munich W win the 2026-2027 title in 97% of them, projecting ~70 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Mainz W finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 18 | 70 | 65–75 | 97% | >99% | — |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 15 | 57 | 50–63 | 3% | 99% | — |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 13 | 50 | 43–57 | <1% | 89% | — |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 12 | 47 | 40–54 | — | 76% | — |
| 5 | Hoffenheim W | 6 | 40 | 33–47 | — | 21% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 5 | 23 | 16–29 | — | <1% | 65% |
| 13 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 2 | 18 | 12–25 | — | — | 90% |
| 14 | Mainz W | 0 | 11 | 5–16 | — | — | >99% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 137 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/germany/bundesliga-women/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Frauen-Bundesliga live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/germany/bundesliga-women">Frauen-Bundesliga stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Frauen-Bundesliga match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 18 | 14.9 | +3.1 | |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 15 | 13.2 | +1.8 | |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 14 | 13.3 | +0.7 | |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 13 | 10.5 | +2.5 | |
| 5 | Koln W | 12 | 9.9 | +2.1 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 5 | 6.0 | -1.0 | |
| 13 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 2 | 5.5 | -3.5 | |
| 14 | Mainz W | 0 | 3.2 | -3.2 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+