Bundesliga Women 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Freiburg W | 22 | 38 | 26.4 | +11.6Outperforming ++ | 8 | +6.4 | +5.2 | 3:2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Hoffenheim W (-1.2) |
2 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 22 | 43 | 35.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +4.6 | +3.0 | 1:0 vs Wolfsburg W (+2.3) | 1:1 vs Koln W (-1.4) |
3 | Bayern Munich W | 22 | 59 | 53.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.4 | +2.1 | 0:3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+1.4) | 2:0 vs Wolfsburg W (-1.6) |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 22 | 50 | 46.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 3 | +3.3 | +0.8 | 3:0 vs Wolfsburg W (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Werder Bremen W (-2.4) |
5 | RB Leipzig W | 22 | 27 | 24.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 9 | +2.2 | +0.3 | 3:1 vs Hoffenheim W (+2.1) | 0:3 vs SGS Essen W (-1.5) |
6 | Werder Bremen W | 22 | 29 | 27.2 | +1.8On expectation | 6 | -2.1 | +3.9 | 0:1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Freiburg W (-1.8) |
7 | Hoffenheim W | 22 | 36 | 34.7 | +1.3On expectation | 5 | +2.2 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Bayer Leverkusen W (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Freiburg W (-2.2) |
8 | Wolfsburg W | 22 | 51 | 50.8 | +0.2On expectation | 2 | +5.0 | -4.8 | 2:0 vs Bayern Munich W (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Bayer Leverkusen W (-2.1) |
9 | Jena W | 22 | 10 | 13.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 11 | -2.5 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs Koln W (+2.0) | 0:2 vs SGS Essen W (-0.8) |
10 | SGS Essen W | 22 | 20 | 26.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 7 | -6.3 | -0.5 | 0:3 vs RB Leipzig W (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Werder Bremen W (-1.6) |
11 | Potsdam W | 22 | 1 | 9.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 12 | -4.4 | -3.7 | 0:0 vs Jena W (+-0.1) | 0:3 vs RB Leipzig W (-0.9) |
12 | Koln W | 22 | 14 | 23.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 10 | -8.0 | -1.0 | 1:2 vs Werder Bremen W (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Jena W (-1.8) |
