Bundesliga Womenhub →Bundesliga Women 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern Munich W | 26 | 74 | 65.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.2 | +7.6 | 1:3 vs Wolfsburg W (+1.5) | 0:0 vs Jena W (-1.8) |
2 | Werder Bremen W | 26 | 43 | 35.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 6 | +8.7 | -1.2 | 1:3 vs Bayer Leverkusen W (+2.4) | 3:0 vs Freiburg W (-1.5) |
3 | Koln W | 26 | 37 | 33.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 8 | +2.2 | +1.6 | 1:0 vs Hoffenheim W (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Jena W (-2.4) |
4 | Hoffenheim W | 26 | 46 | 43.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 5 | -2.2 | +5.1 | 3:0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+1.9) | 0:4 vs Hamburger SV W (-2.4) |
5 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 26 | 22 | 19.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 13 | +2.1 | +0.7 | 5:3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Hamburger SV W (-1.5) |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 26 | 46 | 44.3 | +1.7On expectation | 4 | +0.5 | +1.2 | 2:1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Werder Bremen W (-2.3) |
7 | Freiburg W | 26 | 34 | 32.6 | +1.4On expectation | 9 | +4.9 | -3.5 | 3:2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+2.3) | 3:2 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (-1.9) |
8 | Wolfsburg W | 26 | 58 | 57.1 | +0.9On expectation | 2 | -1.1 | +2.0 | 1:5 vs Bayer Leverkusen W (+1.3) | 2:3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (-2.0) |
9 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 26 | 51 | 51.6 | -0.6On expectation | 3 | +6.6 | -7.3 | 2:3 vs Wolfsburg W (+2.2) | 5:3 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (-2.4) |
10 | RB Leipzig W | 26 | 28 | 32.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 10 | -1.9 | -2.1 | 2:4 vs Freiburg W (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Hamburger SV W (-1.9) |
11 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 30 | 34.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 7 | -3.6 | -0.5 | 4:1 vs Werder Bremen W (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Jena W (-2.3) |
12 | Jena W | 26 | 11 | 15.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 14 | -5.5 | +1.0 | 0:1 vs Koln W (+2.6) | 2:3 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (-1.3) |
13 | Hamburger SV W | 26 | 18 | 22.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 12 | -6.7 | +2.1 | 0:4 vs Hoffenheim W (+2.6) | 1:2 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (-1.9) |
14 | SGS Essen W | 26 | 16 | 23.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 11 | -4.3 | -3.6 | 0:1 vs Bayer Leverkusen W (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Hamburger SV W (-1.5) |