Bundesliga Women 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern Munich W | 22 | 60 | 53.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.9 | +2.8 | 0:4 vs Wolfsburg W (+1.6) | 1:1 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (-1.8) |
2 | SGS Essen W | 22 | 35 | 29.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 6 | +1.8 | +4.1 | 2:0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Freiburg W (-1.8) |
3 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 22 | 15 | 12.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 12 | -2.0 | +4.9 | 0:2 vs Freiburg W (+2.6) | 1:3 vs Koln W (-0.9) |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 22 | 44 | 42.2 | +1.8On expectation | 3 | +3.4 | -1.6 | 1:3 vs Hoffenheim W (+1.6) | 2:0 vs SGS Essen W (-2.3) |
5 | Werder Bremen W | 22 | 28 | 26.4 | +1.6On expectation | 8 | -0.4 | +2.0 | 2:3 vs Bayer Leverkusen W (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Koln W (-1.6) |
6 | RB Leipzig W | 22 | 26 | 24.9 | +1.1On expectation | 9 | +5.5 | -4.4 | 2:1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Koln W (-1.8) |
7 | Wolfsburg W | 22 | 53 | 52.3 | +0.7On expectation | 2 | +1.2 | -0.5 | 2:4 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+1.1) | 2:1 vs Hoffenheim W (-2.2) |
8 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 22 | 31 | 30.6 | +0.4On expectation | 5 | +0.8 | -0.5 | 2:0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt W (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Werder Bremen W (-1.7) |
9 | Freiburg W | 22 | 24 | 26.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 7 | -5.0 | +2.2 | 2:3 vs Hoffenheim W (+2.6) | 0:2 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (-2.5) |
10 | Koln W | 22 | 18 | 21.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 10 | +0.8 | -4.0 | 2:1 vs RB Leipzig W (+2.0) | 3:4 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (-2.0) |
11 | Hoffenheim W | 22 | 34 | 39.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -5.8 | +0.5 | 2:1 vs Wolfsburg W (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Freiburg W (-2.4) |
12 | Duisburg W | 22 | 4 | 12.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 11 | -4.0 | -4.7 | 1:1 vs Freiburg W (+0.5) | 1:2 vs 1.FC Nurnberg W (-1.6) |
