Derby are 23rd in the 2026-2027 Championship after 12 matches — 7 points from a 1-4-7 record, 10 goals scored and 21 conceded. Market-implied expected points say 13.6 — 6.6 fewer than they have banked; on performances alone they would be 19th. The 0:3 against Swansea cost them the most expected points. Form over the last five: DDLLD, 3 points. They average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match; 50% of their matches have cleared 2.5 goals, with 1 clean sheet and 4 blanks in front of goal. Biggest win: 2:0 against Portsmouth.
Of their 10 goals, the most (3) have come in the 15-30 minute band. 4 of them have arrived after the 75th minute. The first goal in a Derby match has come before half-time 11 times in 12.
Produced performances worth 6.6 more points than they collected, by market expectations. full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. The bookmaker margin usually wins — shown because we publish losers too.
3 points from the last five. Avg 0.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per match.
What does Derby need?
51 points were enough in 90% of simulations: Derby need 44 more from 34 games (1.29 per game; current pace 0.58).
Relegation battle: every club & what-if →Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
league hub →
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Millwall– Derby | 2026-10-31 | 15:00 | Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 51.0% | ▲ +5.0% | 1.96 |
Add Derby fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
All 2026-2027 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 |  Sheffield Utd | A | 1:1 | 0:1 | 37' | 1.75 | 3.71 | 4.21 | D |
| 2026-10-17 |  Stoke | H | 0:1 | 0:0 | 49' | 2.83 | 3.33 | 2.35 | L |
| 2026-10-14 |  QPR | A | 4:1 | 3:0 | 18' | 1.74 | 3.54 | 3.95 | L |
| 2026-10-10 |  Wrexham | H | 1:1 | 1:0 | 9' | 2.65 | 3.19 | 2.36 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | Burnley | A | 1:1 | 1:0 | 34' | 1.80 | 3.66 | 4.14 | D |
| 2026-09-12 |  Birmingham | H | 1:2 | 1:1 | 40' | 3.19 | 3.36 | 2.18 | L |
| 2026-09-09 |  West Brom | H | 0:1 | 0:1 | 16' | 3.32 | 3.29 | 2.14 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | West Ham | A | 3:0 | 1:0 | 6' | 1.34 | 5.20 | 7.39 | L |
| 2026-09-01 |  Portsmouth | A | 0:2 | 0:1 | 16' | 1.97 | 3.27 | 3.48 | W |
| 2026-08-29 |  Swansea | H | 0:3 | 0:2 | 2' | 2.35 | 3.21 | 3.00 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | Cardiff | H | 2:2 | 1:2 | 19' | 2.15 | 3.44 | 3.18 | D |
| 2026-08-15 |  Charlton | A | 2:1 | 0:1 | 23' | 2.65 | 3.11 | 2.69 | L |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Derby score
10 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 15-30' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Derby matches
either side scoring — 11 of 12 matches saw a first-half opener; 0 stayed goalless
Match stats
averages over 12 matches with stat coverageGo deeper
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+