Derby played 46 Championship matches in 2025-2026, winning 20, drawing 9 and losing 17 for 69 points. Market-implied expected points say 58.7 — an overperformance of 10.3 points. Their 67 goals cluster in the 60-75 minute band; 14 arrived after the 75th minute.
Collected 10.3 more points than market odds expected (58.7 xPTS). full table →
Flat-stake ROI of backing them in every match this season. A rare market beat — small samples swing hard, treat as description not advice.
6 points from the last five. Avg 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per match.
All 2025-2026 results
odds are closing 1X2 prices| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | HT | 1st goal | 1 | X | 2 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Sheffield Utd | H | 1:2 | 1:0 | 5' | 1.96 | 3.70 | 3.64 | L |
| 2026-04-25 | QPR | A | 2:3 | 1:1 | 13' |
Goal timing
league-wide chart →When Derby score
67 goals by 15-minute band — busiest: 60-75' (attribution approximated from goal order, as in the league heat map)
First goal in Derby matches
either side scoring — 38 of 46 matches saw a first-half opener; 0 stayed goalless
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+