West Ham vs Derby

Championship, England · 2026-09-05 · 16:00 CET

DLD

1 : 1

most likely · 11.7%

xG 1.57 – 1.34 · H 1.26 · X 5.30 · A 10.00

WLLDL

Scoreline probabilities

1:111.7%

2:19.4%

1:09.0%

2:07.0%

1:26.6%

0:16.3%

Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.

First goal · head-to-head

0–1515–3030–4545–6060–7575–90

West Ham (3)Derby (30)

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Flat 1u, average market odds, settled either way. Not betting advice — a record, like ours.

Averaged bookmaker prices: home 1.26, draw 5.30, away 10.00; Over 2.5 1.85, Under 2.5 1.87; HT Over 1.5 2.72, HT Under 1.5 1.40.

How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.