Superliga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 12 | 29 | 20.8 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.3 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs FC Rapid Bucuresti (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Petrolul (-1.8) |
2 | FC Rapid Bucuresti | 12 | 27 | 19.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.6 | +3.6 | 3:4 vs U. Cluj (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Dinamo Bucuresti (-1.4) |
3 | Petrolul | 12 | 20 | 13.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | +4.6 | +2.0 | 2:3 vs U. Cluj (+2.2) | 0:2 vs FC Rapid Bucuresti (-1.1) |
4 | Farul Constanta | 11 | 17 | 15.1 | +1.9On expectation | 8 | +4.5 | -2.5 | 2:0 vs Corvinul (+1.5) | 2:1 vs U. Cluj (-1.2) |
5 | Univ. Craiova | 11 | 23 | 21.2 | +1.8On expectation | 1 | +2.7 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Corvinul (+1.1) | 0:1 vs FC Arges (-2.1) |
6 | U. Cluj | 11 | 18 | 16.3 | +1.7On expectation | 5 | +1.8 | -0.1 | 1:3 vs CFR Cluj (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Petrolul (-2.0) |
7 | CFR Cluj | 11 | 16 | 15.5 | +0.5On expectation | 7 | +2.9 | -2.4 | 1:0 vs FCSB (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Otelul (-1.5) |
8 | Corvinul | 12 | 16 | 15.7 | +0.3On expectation | 6 | +2.4 | -2.1 | 3:0 vs CFR Cluj (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Petrolul (-1.3) |
9 | Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe | 12 | 14 | 13.7 | +0.3On expectation | 13 | +2.1 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs FC Arges (+1.8) | 5:0 vs FC Botosani (-1.1) |
10 | FC Botosani | 12 | 14 | 14.9 | -0.9On expectation | 9 | +3.2 | -4.1 | 2:0 vs UTA Arad (+1.4) | 3:1 vs CFR Cluj (-1.2) |
11 | UTA Arad | 11 | 12 | 14.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 10 | +0.6 | -3.5 | 1:3 vs FCSB (+2.1) | 1:0 vs FC Voluntari (-1.4) |
12 | FC Arges | 11 | 11 | 14.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 12 | -1.5 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Univ. Craiova (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe (-1.5) |
13 | Otelul | 12 | 11 | 14.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 11 | -0.1 | -3.2 | 2:1 vs CFR Cluj (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Petrolul (-1.4) |
14 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 8 | 11.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 15 | -0.2 | -3.7 | 1:0 vs UTA Arad (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Petrolul (-1.6) |
15 | FCSB | 11 | 15 | 19.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 4 | -1.2 | -3.4 | 0:2 vs Csikszereda M. Ciuc (+1.3) | 1:3 vs UTA Arad (-1.9) |
16 | Csikszereda M. Ciuc | 12 | 2 | 10.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 16 | -3.3 | -4.7 | 1:1 vs Otelul (+0.2) | 2:3 vs CFR Cluj (-1.1) |
