Superligahub →Superliga 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | UTA Arad | 41 | 64 | 52.3 | +11.7Outperforming ++ | 11 | +7.5 | +4.2 | 1:2 vs Univ. Craiova (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Csikszereda M. Ciuc (-1.6) |
2 | U. Cluj | 42 | 73 | 61.8 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 6 | +4.1 | +7.1 | 1:3 vs FCSB (+2.3) | 0:2 vs FC Botosani (-1.8) |
3 | Csikszereda M. Ciuc | 41 | 50 | 40.0 | +10.0Outperforming ++ | 15 | +12.1 | -2.2 | 1:0 vs FCSB (+2.4) | 6:1 vs Unirea Slobozia (-1.1) |
4 | FC Arges | 42 | 61 | 51.5 | +9.6Outperforming ++ | 12 | +0.9 | +8.6 | 0:1 vs Univ. Craiova (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Petrolul (-1.7) |
5 | Univ. Craiova | 42 | 82 | 73.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +9.2 | -0.3 | 2:3 vs CFR Cluj (+1.9) | 1:2 vs UTA Arad (-2.1) |
6 | CFR Cluj | 41 | 69 | 64.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 5 | +4.2 | +0.2 | 1:4 vs FCSB (+2.1) | 0:2 vs FC Arges (-1.9) |
7 | Otelul | 41 | 58 | 55.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 9 | +6.2 | -3.2 | 1:5 vs Petrolul (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Csikszereda M. Ciuc (-1.6) |
8 | FC Rapid Bucuresti | 42 | 68 | 65.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 3 | +0.2 | +2.1 | 0:2 vs Din. Bucuresti (+1.9) | 0:2 vs U. Cluj (-1.8) |
9 | Din. Bucuresti | 29 | 52 | 49.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 14 | +1.6 | +0.7 | 4:3 vs FCSB (+1.9) | 0:1 vs FC Arges (-2.0) |
10 | FC Botosani | 41 | 56 | 55.3 | +0.7On expectation | 8 | +6.3 | -5.5 | 3:2 vs FCSB (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Csikszereda M. Ciuc (-1.8) |
11 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 40 | 65 | 64.9 | +0.1On expectation | 4 | +3.8 | -3.8 | 4:3 vs FCSB (+1.9) | 0:1 vs FC Arges (-2.0) |
12 | Unirea Slobozia | 41 | 34 | 37.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 16 | -4.2 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs FCSB (+2.5) | 0:1 vs UTA Arad (-1.3) |
13 | Metaloglobus Bucharest | 41 | 22 | 29.1 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 17 | -1.9 | -5.2 | 2:1 vs FCSB (+2.5) | 2:3 vs Unirea Slobozia (-1.4) |
14 | Petrolul | 41 | 42 | 50.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -6.5 | -2.2 | 1:0 vs CFR Cluj (+2.1) | 1:5 vs Otelul (-1.9) |
15 | Farul Constanta | 41 | 44 | 56.2 | -12.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.2 | -9.0 | 1:2 vs FCSB (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Metaloglobus Bucharest (-2.4) |
16 | FCSB | 41 | 61 | 77.1 | -16.1Underperforming −− | 1 | -7.0 | -9.1 | 0:2 vs U. Cluj (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Metaloglobus Bucharest (-2.3) |
17 | FC Hermannstadt | 41 | 36 | 53.0 | -16.9Underperforming −− | 10 | -8.0 | -8.9 | 1:2 vs FC Rapid Bucuresti (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Csikszereda M. Ciuc (-1.9) |