3. Ligahub →3. Liga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Viktoria Koln | 13 | 29 | 20.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 5 | +4.2 | +4.7 | 2:5 vs Alemannia Aachen (+1.8) | 2:5 vs Regensburg (-1.5) |
2 | Duisburg | 13 | 29 | 22.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.1 | +4.3 | 2:4 vs Saarbrucken (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Ingolstadt (-1.6) |
3 | RW Essen | 13 | 27 | 22.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 1 | +5.8 | -1.7 | 1:2 vs Mannheim (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Ingolstadt (-1.6) |
4 | Ingolstadt | 13 | 21 | 17.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 10 | +0.0 | +3.4 | 0:3 vs Mannheim (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Hoffenheim II (-1.6) |
5 | Stuttgart II | 13 | 18 | 15.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 18 | -0.9 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Wurzburger Kickers (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Preussen Munster (-1.4) |
6 | Wehen | 13 | 21 | 18.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 7 | -0.9 | +3.0 | 2:4 vs Ingolstadt (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Mannheim (-1.5) |
7 | Hoffenheim II | 13 | 19 | 17.0 | +2.0On expectation | 11 | +1.5 | +0.5 | 0:2 vs Dusseldorf (+2.2) | 3:2 vs Stuttgart II (-1.5) |
8 | Meppen | 13 | 18 | 16.1 | +1.9On expectation | 16 | +0.2 | +1.7 | 0:2 vs Hansa Rostock (+2.3) | 1:6 vs Saarbrucken (-1.4) |
9 | Saarbrucken | 13 | 20 | 18.6 | +1.4On expectation | 9 | +0.2 | +1.2 | 1:3 vs Dusseldorf (+1.8) | 3:2 vs TSV Havelse (-1.9) |
10 | Mannheim | 13 | 19 | 18.8 | +0.2On expectation | 8 | +1.3 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Dusseldorf (+1.9) | 3:2 vs TSV Havelse (-1.9) |
11 | Alemannia Aachen | 13 | 20 | 20.1 | -0.1On expectation | 6 | +1.3 | -1.4 | 0:3 vs Ingolstadt (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Meppen (-2.0) |
12 | Wurzburger Kickers | 13 | 14 | 14.3 | -0.3On expectation | 19 | +1.6 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Fortuna Koln (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Stuttgart II (-1.6) |
13 | Preussen Munster | 13 | 15 | 16.2 | -1.2On expectation | 15 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 1:3 vs Wehen (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Dusseldorf (-1.3) |
14 | TSV Havelse | 13 | 10 | 11.7 | -1.7On expectation | 20 | +1.5 | -3.2 | 3:2 vs Saarbrucken (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Fortuna Koln (-1.3) |
15 | Hansa Rostock | 13 | 19 | 21.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 3 | -2.4 | -0.4 | 2:4 vs Saarbrucken (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Meppen (-2.1) |
16 | Regensburg | 13 | 13 | 16.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 12 | -1.1 | -2.7 | 2:5 vs Viktoria Koln (+1.8) | 5:1 vs Hoffenheim II (-1.4) |
17 | Dusseldorf | 13 | 16 | 20.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 4 | -2.3 | -1.9 | 2:1 vs Duisburg (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Hoffenheim II (-2.0) |
18 | Verl | 13 | 12 | 16.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 14 | -1.6 | -2.8 | 0:1 vs Mannheim (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Fortuna Koln (-1.7) |
19 | Grossaspach | 13 | 12 | 16.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 13 | +0.2 | -4.9 | 1:0 vs Hoffenheim II (+1.6) | 1:5 vs Mannheim (-1.5) |
20 | Fortuna Koln | 13 | 10 | 15.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 17 | -4.9 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Verl (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Wurzburger Kickers (-1.7) |