3. Ligahub →3. Liga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Duisburg | 7 | 18 | 12.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.6 | +2.9 | 1:4 vs Wehen (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Dusseldorf (-1.4) |
2 | Viktoria Koln | 7 | 15 | 10.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 6 | +2.7 | +1.9 | 4:0 vs Hansa Rostock (+1.7) | 2:5 vs Regensburg (-1.6) |
3 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | 13 | 9.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 14 | +1.3 | +2.7 | 0:2 vs Dusseldorf (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Grossaspach (-1.4) |
4 | Saarbrucken | 7 | 13 | 10.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 7 | +0.1 | +2.8 | 5:2 vs RW Essen (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Ingolstadt (-1.6) |
5 | Preussen Munster | 7 | 11 | 9.2 | +1.8On expectation | 12 | +0.5 | +1.3 | 1:3 vs Wehen (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Mannheim (-1.1) |
6 | RW Essen | 7 | 14 | 12.3 | +1.7On expectation | 2 | +2.4 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Mannheim (+1.4) | 5:2 vs Saarbrucken (-1.5) |
7 | Fortuna Koln | 7 | 9 | 8.3 | +0.7On expectation | 17 | -1.4 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Verl (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Grossaspach (-1.3) |
8 | Verl | 7 | 10 | 9.5 | +0.5On expectation | 11 | -0.1 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs Mannheim (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Fortuna Koln (-1.7) |
9 | Mannheim | 7 | 10 | 9.6 | +0.4On expectation | 10 | +0.4 | +0.1 | 2:1 vs Dusseldorf (+1.9) | 3:2 vs TSV Havelse (-1.9) |
10 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | 12 | 11.7 | +0.3On expectation | 3 | -0.9 | +1.1 | 2:4 vs Saarbrucken (+1.6) | 4:0 vs Viktoria Koln (-1.5) |
11 | Wurzburger Kickers | 7 | 7 | 7.6 | -0.6On expectation | 18 | +1.9 | -2.5 | 1:0 vs Alemannia Aachen (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Stuttgart II (-1.6) |
12 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 11 | 11.6 | -0.6On expectation | 4 | +0.1 | -0.7 | 0:3 vs Ingolstadt (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Meppen (-2.0) |
13 | Dusseldorf | 7 | 10 | 11.1 | -1.1On expectation | 5 | +0.8 | -1.9 | 2:1 vs Duisburg (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Hoffenheim II (-2.0) |
14 | Stuttgart II | 7 | 7 | 8.5 | -1.5On expectation | 16 | -3.0 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Wurzburger Kickers (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Preussen Munster (-1.4) |
15 | Meppen | 7 | 6 | 7.5 | -1.5On expectation | 19 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 0:3 vs Alemannia Aachen (+2.3) | 1:6 vs Saarbrucken (-1.4) |
16 | Ingolstadt | 7 | 8 | 9.8 | -1.8On expectation | 9 | -3.9 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Saarbrucken (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Hoffenheim II (-1.6) |
17 | Grossaspach | 7 | 8 | 9.8 | -1.8On expectation | 8 | +1.3 | -3.1 | 1:0 vs Hoffenheim II (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Ingolstadt (-1.4) |
18 | TSV Havelse | 7 | 4 | 6.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 20 | -0.4 | -1.9 | 3:2 vs Mannheim (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Fortuna Koln (-1.3) |
19 | Regensburg | 7 | 5 | 8.7 | -3.6Underperforming | 15 | -3.6 | -0.0 | 2:5 vs Viktoria Koln (+1.8) | 5:1 vs Hoffenheim II (-1.4) |
20 | Wehen | 7 | 5 | 9.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 13 | -4.5 | +0.3 | 0:2 vs Fortuna Koln (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Mannheim (-1.5) |