3. Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Freiburg II | 38 | 73 | 55.0 | +18.0Outperforming ++ | 8 | +14.1 | +3.8 | 2:1 vs Elversberg (+1.9) | 0:3 vs RW Essen (-1.6) |
2 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 70 | 61.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +5.4 | +2.9 | 1:0 vs Elversberg (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Bayreuth (-2.3) |
3 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 69 | 61.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.5 | +4.0 | 0:1 vs Munich 1860 (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Meppen (-2.0) |
4 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 38 | 69 | 62.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +1.4 | +5.5 | 0:1 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Bayreuth (-2.3) |
5 | Wehen | 38 | 70 | 63.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.0 | +2.3 | 2:3 vs Ingolstadt (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Meppen (-2.3) |
6 | Viktoria Koln | 38 | 55 | 49.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 11 | +0.9 | +4.5 | 1:3 vs Ingolstadt (+2.1) | 1:2 vs VfB Oldenburg (-1.6) |
7 | Elversberg | 38 | 74 | 69.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 1 | +2.5 | +2.0 | 1:5 vs RW Essen (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Aue (-2.4) |
8 | Mannheim | 38 | 60 | 57.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 6 | +14.8 | -12.5 | 2:1 vs Elversberg (+1.8) | 1:3 vs VfB Oldenburg (-2.0) |
9 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 57 | 56.8 | +0.2On expectation | 7 | +4.2 | -3.9 | 0:2 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Bayreuth (-1.9) |
10 | Duisburg | 38 | 46 | 46.3 | -0.3On expectation | 15 | -3.6 | +3.2 | 1:3 vs Wehen (+2.2) | 0:5 vs Dortmund II (-1.5) |
11 | Verl | 38 | 49 | 49.4 | -0.4On expectation | 13 | +3.8 | -4.2 | 1:2 vs Elversberg (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Zwickau (-1.5) |
12 | Dortmund II | 38 | 45 | 47.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 14 | +0.3 | -2.5 | 1:4 vs Munich 1860 (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Bayreuth (-1.6) |
13 | Hallescher | 38 | 41 | 44.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 16 | +0.7 | -4.1 | 3:1 vs Mannheim (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Zwickau (-1.5) |
14 | Bayreuth | 38 | 32 | 35.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 20 | -0.1 | -3.8 | 1:2 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.5) | 1:2 vs VfB Oldenburg (-1.5) |
15 | Aue | 38 | 45 | 49.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 12 | -3.5 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs Elversberg (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Zwickau (-1.7) |
16 | Meppen | 38 | 37 | 42.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 18 | +0.2 | -5.3 | 1:2 vs Wehen (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Bayreuth (-1.9) |
17 | VfB Oldenburg | 38 | 35 | 41.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 19 | -9.4 | +3.1 | 1:3 vs Mannheim (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Zwickau (-1.8) |
18 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 47 | 54.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -9.2 | +1.7 | 3:4 vs Saarbrucken (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Viktoria Koln (-1.9) |
19 | Zwickau | 38 | 35 | 43.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 17 | -2.0 | -6.1 | 3:1 vs Mannheim (+2.1) | 0:1 vs VfB Oldenburg (-1.7) |
20 | RW Essen | 38 | 42 | 51.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.8 | -5.5 | 0:3 vs Freiburg II (+1.9) | 1:4 vs Viktoria Koln (-1.7) |
