3. Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ulm | 38 | 77 | 56.8 | +20.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +9.5 | +10.8 | 0:2 vs Mannheim (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Hallescher (-1.8) |
2 | Aue | 38 | 60 | 48.9 | +11.1Outperforming ++ | 14 | +13.3 | -2.2 | 1:2 vs Munich 1860 (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Preussen Munster (-1.5) |
3 | Preussen Munster | 38 | 67 | 56.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 6 | +9.6 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs Sandhausen (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Mannheim (-1.7) |
4 | Unterhaching | 38 | 55 | 45.6 | +9.4Outperforming ++ | 17 | +9.1 | +0.3 | 1:3 vs RW Essen (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Dortmund II (-1.7) |
5 | Dortmund II | 38 | 54 | 45.3 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 18 | +1.4 | +7.4 | 1:2 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.4) | 1:2 vs RW Essen (-1.5) |
6 | Regensburg | 38 | 63 | 57.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +0.5 | +5.4 | 0:1 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Freiburg II (-2.0) |
7 | RW Essen | 38 | 59 | 53.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 9 | +7.3 | -1.8 | 1:3 vs Regensburg (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Unterhaching (-1.8) |
8 | Sandhausen | 38 | 56 | 54.6 | +1.4On expectation | 8 | +4.6 | -3.1 | 0:1 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Lubeck (-1.9) |
9 | Verl | 38 | 53 | 52.6 | +0.4On expectation | 10 | -1.0 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Duisburg (-1.7) |
10 | Viktoria Koln | 38 | 49 | 49.0 | -0.0On expectation | 13 | +4.2 | -4.3 | 0:2 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Dortmund II (-1.7) |
11 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 54 | 58.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 3 | +0.8 | -4.7 | 0:2 vs Saarbrucken (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Freiburg II (-2.3) |
12 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 60 | 64.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 2 | -3.9 | -0.2 | 1:3 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Hallescher (-2.1) |
13 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 46 | 52.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 11 | -2.1 | -4.1 | 2:3 vs Saarbrucken (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Lubeck (-1.9) |
14 | Hallescher | 38 | 40 | 47.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.2 | -4.8 | 0:1 vs Saarbrucken (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Unterhaching (-1.8) |
15 | Mannheim | 38 | 43 | 50.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 12 | +0.9 | -8.6 | 1:3 vs Preussen Munster (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Freiburg II (-1.6) |
16 | Freiburg II | 38 | 30 | 37.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 20 | -1.8 | -5.9 | 2:3 vs Ingolstadt (+2.5) | 0:2 vs RW Essen (-1.5) |
17 | Lubeck | 38 | 32 | 41.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 19 | -2.2 | -6.8 | 1:2 vs Munich 1860 (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Freiburg II (-1.5) |
18 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 38 | 62 | 71.2 | -9.2Underperforming −− | 1 | -4.1 | -5.1 | 2:3 vs Ulm (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Viktoria Koln (-2.4) |
19 | Arminia Bielefeld | 38 | 46 | 55.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -7.4 | -1.8 | 1:2 vs Unterhaching (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Unterhaching (-1.8) |
20 | Duisburg | 38 | 34 | 45.9 | -11.9Underperforming −− | 16 | -1.2 | -10.8 | 1:3 vs Verl (+2.0) | 5:3 vs Lubeck (-1.6) |
