3. Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Viktoria Koln | 38 | 59 | 48.0 | +11.0Outperforming ++ | 16 | +10.2 | +0.8 | 2:3 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Munich 1860 (-1.6) |
2 | Cottbus | 38 | 62 | 53.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 8 | +3.9 | +4.8 | 1:3 vs Hansa Rostock (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Ingolstadt (-2.1) |
3 | Arminia Bielefeld | 38 | 72 | 63.9 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.9 | +5.2 | 1:3 vs Aue (+1.6) | 1:2 vs RW Essen (-1.9) |
4 | RW Essen | 38 | 56 | 51.9 | +4.2Outperforming | 11 | +2.6 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Arminia Bielefeld (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Alemannia Aachen (-1.6) |
5 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 65 | 61.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 3 | +3.2 | +0.3 | 0:3 vs RW Essen (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Stuttgart II (-1.9) |
6 | Wehen | 38 | 55 | 52.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 10 | +2.1 | +0.7 | 1:4 vs Hansa Rostock (+2.0) | 1:5 vs Hannover II (-1.8) |
7 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 60 | 57.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 4 | +6.2 | -3.4 | 0:1 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Hannover II (-1.9) |
8 | Stuttgart II | 38 | 47 | 44.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 18 | +8.4 | -5.9 | 0:2 vs Saarbrucken (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Viktoria Koln (-1.4) |
9 | Verl | 38 | 57 | 54.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 6 | -0.9 | +3.3 | 1:3 vs RW Essen (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Dortmund II (-1.8) |
10 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 38 | 70 | 67.8 | +2.1Outperforming | 1 | +1.1 | +1.0 | 1:4 vs Saarbrucken (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Viktoria Koln (-2.0) |
11 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 53 | 51.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 12 | -3.7 | +5.7 | 0:1 vs Arminia Bielefeld (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Viktoria Koln (-1.8) |
12 | Aue | 38 | 50 | 50.0 | +0.0On expectation | 14 | +4.9 | -4.9 | 0:2 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Sandhausen (-1.6) |
13 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 50 | 50.9 | -0.9On expectation | 13 | +3.8 | -4.8 | 1:2 vs Hansa Rostock (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Stuttgart II (-1.4) |
14 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 54 | 56.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 5 | +1.9 | -4.1 | 1:4 vs Cottbus (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Munich 1860 (-1.8) |
15 | Hannover II | 38 | 37 | 39.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 19 | -3.2 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs Sandhausen (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Viktoria Koln (-1.3) |
16 | Dortmund II | 38 | 43 | 46.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 17 | +0.6 | -3.9 | 2:1 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.1) | 0:4 vs Hannover II (-1.7) |
17 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 48 | 54.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 7 | -2.3 | -3.8 | 0:1 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+2.0) | 2:5 vs Cottbus (-1.8) |
18 | Mannheim | 38 | 46 | 52.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 9 | +0.9 | -7.1 | 2:4 vs Cottbus (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Unterhaching (-2.1) |
19 | Unterhaching | 38 | 25 | 36.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 20 | -4.0 | -7.8 | 0:2 vs Mannheim (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Hannover II (-1.6) |
20 | Sandhausen | 38 | 35 | 49.7 | -14.7Underperforming −− | 15 | -7.5 | -7.2 | 0:1 vs Saarbrucken (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Hannover II (-2.0) |
