3. Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 80 | 59.7 | +20.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +5.2 | +15.1 | 1:4 vs Mannheim (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Wehen (-1.8) |
2 | Cottbus | 38 | 72 | 59.5 | +12.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.4 | +5.1 | 0:3 vs Mannheim (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Duisburg (-1.5) |
3 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 64 | 52.2 | +11.8Outperforming ++ | 10 | -0.2 | +11.9 | 2:3 vs RW Essen (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Aue (-1.7) |
4 | Duisburg | 38 | 68 | 57.0 | +11.0Outperforming ++ | 7 | +15.8 | -4.8 | 1:0 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Ulm (-1.6) |
5 | RW Essen | 38 | 70 | 62.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.5 | +1.4 | 2:3 vs Saarbrucken (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Alemannia Aachen (-2.0) |
6 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 67 | 63.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 1 | -2.9 | +6.4 | 1:2 vs Verl (+1.9) | 2:5 vs Regensburg (-1.9) |
7 | Viktoria Koln | 38 | 51 | 49.0 | +2.0On expectation | 15 | -0.1 | +2.1 | 2:3 vs Hansa Rostock (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Schweinfurt (-1.8) |
8 | Wehen | 38 | 53 | 51.4 | +1.6On expectation | 13 | +6.8 | -5.2 | 0:1 vs VfL Osnabruck (+2.0) | 1:4 vs TSV Havelse (-2.0) |
9 | Verl | 38 | 64 | 62.7 | +1.3On expectation | 2 | +5.7 | -4.4 | 2:4 vs Saarbrucken (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Regensburg (-1.9) |
10 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 35 | 34.0 | +1.1On expectation | 19 | +5.4 | -4.3 | 1:4 vs Wehen (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Regensburg (-1.3) |
11 | Regensburg | 38 | 49 | 48.2 | +0.8On expectation | 16 | +2.9 | -2.1 | 2:5 vs Hansa Rostock (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Ingolstadt (-1.5) |
12 | Mannheim | 38 | 52 | 51.8 | +0.2On expectation | 11 | +4.7 | -4.5 | 1:3 vs Viktoria Koln (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Cottbus (-1.6) |
13 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 56 | 56.9 | -0.9On expectation | 8 | +2.6 | -3.5 | 1:0 vs Hansa Rostock (+1.7) | 1:5 vs Hoffenheim II (-1.9) |
14 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 49 | 52.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 9 | -5.4 | +2.1 | 0:3 vs Hansa Rostock (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Schweinfurt (-2.0) |
15 | Stuttgart II | 38 | 46 | 49.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 14 | +3.8 | -7.5 | 6:1 vs RW Essen (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Schweinfurt (-2.0) |
16 | Hoffenheim II | 38 | 43 | 51.6 | -8.6Underperforming −− | 12 | -5.7 | -2.9 | 1:5 vs Munich 1860 (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Schweinfurt (-1.8) |
17 | Aue | 38 | 34 | 45.7 | -11.7Underperforming −− | 18 | -5.6 | -6.0 | 3:5 vs Ingolstadt (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Ulm (-1.6) |
18 | Schweinfurt | 38 | 21 | 32.7 | -11.7Underperforming −− | 20 | -2.5 | -9.2 | 3:1 vs Stuttgart II (+2.2) | 2:3 vs TSV Havelse (-1.4) |
19 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 44 | 57.6 | -13.6Underperforming −− | 6 | -0.5 | -13.1 | 1:2 vs RW Essen (+2.0) | 2:0 vs TSV Havelse (-1.9) |
20 | Ulm | 38 | 33 | 47.3 | -14.3Underperforming −− | 17 | -7.0 | -7.3 | 1:0 vs Verl (+2.0) | 3:2 vs Schweinfurt (-1.8) |
