3. Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Magdeburg | 38 | 81 | 68.9 | +12.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +8.2 | +3.9 | 1:5 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Viktoria Berlin (-2.4) |
2 | Braunschweig | 37 | 67 | 58.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 6 | +0.5 | +8.0 | 0:3 vs Mannheim (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Meppen (-2.3) |
3 | Kaiserslautern | 37 | 66 | 59.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 5 | +8.6 | -2.3 | 0:1 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Dortmund II (-2.2) |
4 | Meppen | 37 | 50 | 43.8 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 18 | +2.8 | +3.5 | 3:2 vs Braunschweig (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Freiburg II (-1.8) |
5 | Freiburg II | 38 | 50 | 44.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 15 | +8.4 | -2.7 | 0:1 vs VfL Osnabruck (+2.2) | 1:0 vs TSV Havelse (-1.6) |
6 | Mannheim | 38 | 64 | 60.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 3 | -0.6 | +3.8 | 1:2 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Freiburg II (-1.9) |
7 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 59 | 57.0 | +2.0On expectation | 7 | +1.0 | +0.9 | 0:2 vs Braunschweig (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Verl (-1.6) |
8 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 62 | 60.1 | +1.9On expectation | 4 | -0.5 | +2.4 | 0:2 vs Dortmund II (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Turkgucu Munchen (-2.0) |
9 | Zwickau | 37 | 48 | 47.4 | +0.6On expectation | 13 | -1.9 | +2.5 | 0:2 vs Munich 1860 (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Dortmund II (-1.5) |
10 | Hallescher | 38 | 47 | 46.7 | +0.3On expectation | 14 | +4.2 | -3.9 | 3:2 vs Magdeburg (+2.0) | 2:1 vs TSV Havelse (-1.8) |
11 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 62 | 61.7 | +0.3On expectation | 2 | -6.0 | +6.3 | 0:3 vs Turkgucu Munchen (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Freiburg II (-2.0) |
12 | Viktoria Koln | 37 | 48 | 48.8 | -0.8On expectation | 12 | +0.3 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs Braunschweig (+2.2) | 1:0 vs TSV Havelse (-1.8) |
13 | Wehen | 38 | 54 | 56.0 | -2.0On expectation | 8 | -3.1 | +1.1 | 2:1 vs Kaiserslautern (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Wurzburger Kickers (-1.9) |
14 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 26 | 29.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 20 | -4.6 | +0.8 | 3:4 vs Viktoria Berlin (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Wurzburger Kickers (-1.2) |
15 | Duisburg | 38 | 45 | 49.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 11 | -1.4 | -2.8 | 0:1 vs Wehen (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Zwickau (-1.6) |
16 | Turkgucu Munchen | 31 | 32 | 36.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 19 | +2.0 | -6.4 | 2:1 vs Magdeburg (+2.4) | 0:1 vs TSV Havelse (-1.9) |
17 | Dortmund II | 38 | 49 | 53.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 9 | -11.4 | +6.7 | 1:3 vs Kaiserslautern (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Turkgucu Munchen (-2.1) |
18 | Viktoria Berlin | 37 | 38 | 43.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 17 | -0.0 | -5.7 | 2:1 vs Magdeburg (+2.5) | 3:4 vs TSV Havelse (-2.2) |
19 | Verl | 38 | 42 | 50.1 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -6.6 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs Saarbrucken (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Meppen (-1.6) |
20 | Wurzburger Kickers | 37 | 33 | 44.0 | -11.0Underperforming −− | 16 | -10.9 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs Magdeburg (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Hallescher (-1.5) |
