2. Bundesligahub →2. Bundesliga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Download CSV:·
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hertha Berlin | 11 | 31 | 17.2 | +13.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.5 | +7.3 | 0:1 vs Bochum (+1.8) | 0:0 vs Holstein Kiel (-0.5) |
2 | Nurnberg | 11 | 24 | 16.4 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 6 | +3.8 | +3.9 | 1:3 vs St. Pauli (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Kaiserslautern (-1.6) |
3 | Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 | 14.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 12 | +2.3 | +4.6 | 1:2 vs St. Pauli (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Hertha Berlin (-1.2) |
4 | Magdeburg | 11 | 20 | 16.3 | +3.8Outperforming | 8 | +5.4 | -1.6 | 0:3 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.7) | 1:6 vs Braunschweig (-1.8) |
5 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 | 16.3 | +0.7On expectation | 7 | +2.4 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Bochum (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Darmstadt (-1.5) |
6 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 | 18.4 | +0.6On expectation | 1 | +0.7 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Hannover (+1.8) | 1:0 vs St. Pauli (-1.4) |
7 | Cottbus | 11 | 11 | 11.3 | -0.3On expectation | 18 | -1.0 | +0.7 | 0:3 vs Karlsruher SC (+2.0) | 3:4 vs Greuther Furth (-1.4) |
8 | Greuther Furth | 11 | 12 | 12.8 | -0.8On expectation | 16 | +0.3 | -1.1 | 3:4 vs Cottbus (+1.7) | 2:4 vs Nurnberg (-1.2) |
9 | Heidenheim | 11 | 16 | 17.1 | -1.1On expectation | 3 | +1.5 | -2.6 | 5:3 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Karlsruher SC (-1.7) |
10 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 | 12.4 | -1.4On expectation | 17 | +1.1 | -2.5 | 2:1 vs Heidenheim (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Cottbus (-1.7) |
11 | VfL Osnabruck | 11 | 11 | 13.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 15 | -1.6 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs Bochum (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Kaiserslautern (-1.4) |
12 | Bochum | 11 | 14 | 16.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 9 | -4.9 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+1.8) | 0:1 vs VfL Osnabruck (-1.8) |
13 | Braunschweig | 11 | 11 | 13.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 13 | -0.2 | -2.4 | 1:6 vs Magdeburg (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Bochum (-1.4) |
14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 | 15.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 11 | +1.4 | -5.5 | 2:0 vs Magdeburg (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Bochum (-1.6) |
15 | Darmstadt | 11 | 9 | 13.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 14 | +0.9 | -5.1 | 2:1 vs Arminia Bielefeld (+1.8) | 4:0 vs Karlsruher SC (-1.3) |
16 | Hannover | 11 | 12 | 16.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 5 | -0.5 | -4.2 | 0:1 vs Darmstadt (+1.5) | 3:1 vs Cottbus (-1.5) |
17 | St. Pauli | 11 | 12 | 17.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 4 | -1.6 | -3.4 | 1:0 vs Wolfsburg (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Kaiserslautern (-1.8) |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 | 15.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.8 | -5.4 | 3:0 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Braunschweig (-1.5) |