2. Bundesligahub →2. Bundesliga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 18 | 8.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +3.0 | +6.4 | 0:1 vs Bochum (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Magdeburg (1.3) |
2 | Nurnberg | 6 | 16 | 8.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 9 | +4.7 | +2.7 | 2:1 vs Hannover (+1.6) | 2:2 vs Holstein Kiel (-0.2) |
3 | Heidenheim | 6 | 13 | 9.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 5 | +3.9 | -0.1 | 5:3 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+1.4) | 4:1 vs Hertha Berlin (-1.4) |
4 | Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 | 7.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 12 | +2.1 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs St. Pauli (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Magdeburg (-1.1) |
5 | Cottbus | 6 | 8 | 6.2 | +1.8On expectation | 18 | +0.2 | +1.6 | 0:3 vs Karlsruher SC (+2.0) | 3:4 vs Greuther Furth (-1.4) |
6 | Magdeburg | 6 | 10 | 8.8 | +1.2On expectation | 6 | +1.0 | +0.3 | 0:3 vs VfL Osnabruck (+1.7) | 1:6 vs Braunschweig (-1.8) |
7 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 | 10.4 | +0.6On expectation | 1 | -1.3 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Hannover (+1.8) | 1:0 vs St. Pauli (-1.4) |
8 | VfL Osnabruck | 6 | 7 | 6.9 | +0.1On expectation | 16 | -1.1 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Bochum (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Magdeburg (-1.4) |
9 | Greuther Furth | 6 | 6 | 6.8 | -0.8On expectation | 17 | -2.7 | +1.9 | 3:4 vs Cottbus (+1.7) | 2:4 vs Nurnberg (-1.2) |
10 | Bochum | 6 | 7 | 8.7 | -1.7On expectation | 8 | -4.1 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs SG Dynamo Dresden (+1.8) | 0:1 vs VfL Osnabruck (-1.8) |
11 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 | 7.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 13 | -2.4 | +0.2 | 2:1 vs Arminia Bielefeld (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Cottbus (-1.7) |
12 | St. Pauli | 6 | 7 | 9.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 4 | -1.1 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Wolfsburg (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Kaiserslautern (-1.8) |
13 | Hannover | 6 | 7 | 9.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 2 | -1.4 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs Darmstadt (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Wolfsburg (-1.6) |
14 | Darmstadt | 6 | 4 | 7.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 15 | +0.0 | -3.0 | 2:1 vs Arminia Bielefeld (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Hannover (-1.3) |
15 | Braunschweig | 6 | 4 | 7.2 | -3.1Underperforming | 14 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 1:6 vs Magdeburg (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Bochum (-1.4) |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 | 8.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 11 | -1.7 | -2.6 | 2:2 vs Darmstadt (+-0.2) | 1:0 vs Heidenheim (-1.2) |
17 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 | 9.4 | -4.5Underperforming | 3 | -0.2 | -4.3 | 3:0 vs Cottbus (+1.0) | 2:1 vs Darmstadt (-1.5) |
18 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 | 8.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 10 | -1.6 | -2.9 | 1:0 vs Darmstadt (+1.3) | 1:2 vs Bochum (-1.6) |