Ligue 3 2024-2025 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Boulogne	32	56	44.8	+11.2Outperforming ++	7	+4.6	+6.6	0:2 vs Nancy (+2.1)	2:3 vs Sochaux (-1.8)
2	Nancy	32	65	53.9	+11.1Outperforming ++	1	+4.0	+7.1	2:3 vs Sochaux (+1.8)	1:2 vs Paris 13 Atl. (-2.0)
3	Aubagne	32	45	37.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	16	+5.6	+2.4	0:1 vs Sochaux (+2.1)	0:2 vs Concarneau (-1.7)
4	Le Mans	32	58	50.9	+7.2Outperforming ++	2	+0.4	+6.7	0:1 vs Sochaux (+1.8)	5:2 vs Concarneau (-1.9)
5	Bourg en Bresse	32	46	39.6	+6.4Outperforming ++	14	+2.9	+3.5	1:2 vs Le Mans (+2.0)	0:3 vs Paris 13 Atl. (-1.6)
6	Concarneau	32	42	41.2	+0.8On expectation	11	+3.7	-2.8	5:2 vs Le Mans (+2.2)	1:2 vs Dijon (-1.5)
7	Valenciennes	32	42	42.2	-0.2On expectation	10	+0.5	-0.7	1:2 vs Nancy (+2.2)	1:2 vs Bourg en Bresse (-1.5)
8	Dijon	32	47	47.8	-0.8On expectation	4	-1.5	+0.6	0:1 vs Nancy (+1.8)	0:3 vs Boulogne (-1.7)
9	Chateauroux	32	33	35.3	-2.3Underperforming	17	+4.7	-7.0	1:2 vs Quevilly Rouen (+2.1)	0:1 vs Boulogne (-1.5)
10	Quevilly Rouen	32	40	42.4	-2.4Underperforming	9	-0.8	-1.6	0:1 vs Versailles (+1.9)	1:2 vs Chateauroux (-1.9)
11	Orleans	32	45	48.0	-3.0Underperforming	3	-3.5	+0.6	1:3 vs Versailles (+1.8)	2:3 vs Concarneau (-1.8)
12	Villefranche	32	34	37.9	-3.9Underperforming	15	-3.3	-0.5	2:4 vs Rouen (+2.1)	0:1 vs Aubagne (-1.6)
13	Rouen	32	40	44.3	-4.3Underperforming	8	+0.1	-4.4	1:3 vs Orleans (+1.9)	2:4 vs Villefranche (-1.8)
14	Paris 13 Atl.	32	35	39.6	-4.6Underperforming	13	-1.4	-3.2	1:2 vs Nancy (+2.3)	0:1 vs Bourg en Bresse (-1.6)
15	Sochaux	32	38	46.2	-8.2Underperforming −−	5	-5.1	-3.1	2:3 vs Boulogne (+2.0)	0:1 vs Aubagne (-1.8)
16	Versailles	32	36	44.9	-8.9Underperforming −−	6	-3.8	-5.2	2:3 vs Orleans (+2.0)	2:3 vs Boulogne (-1.7)
17	Nimes	32	28	40.4	-12.4Underperforming −−	12	-2.4	-10.0	0:1 vs Quevilly Rouen (+1.9)	2:4 vs Aubagne (-1.9)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Boulogne	32	56	44.8	+11.2Outperforming ++	7	+4.6	+6.6	0:2 vs Nancy (+2.1)	2:3 vs Sochaux (-1.8)
2	Nancy	32	65	53.9	+11.1Outperforming ++	1	+4.0	+7.1	2:3 vs Sochaux (+1.8)	1:2 vs Paris 13 Atl. (-2.0)
3	Aubagne	32	45	37.0	+8.0Outperforming ++	16	+5.6	+2.4	0:1 vs Sochaux (+2.1)	0:2 vs Concarneau (-1.7)
4	Le Mans	32	58	50.9	+7.2Outperforming ++	2	+0.4	+6.7	0:1 vs Sochaux (+1.8)	5:2 vs Concarneau (-1.9)
5	Bourg en Bresse	32	46	39.6	+6.4Outperforming ++	14	+2.9	+3.5	1:2 vs Le Mans (+2.0)	0:3 vs Paris 13 Atl. (-1.6)
6	Concarneau	32	42	41.2	+0.8On expectation	11	+3.7	-2.8	5:2 vs Le Mans (+2.2)	1:2 vs Dijon (-1.5)
7	Valenciennes	32	42	42.2	-0.2On expectation	10	+0.5	-0.7	1:2 vs Nancy (+2.2)	1:2 vs Bourg en Bresse (-1.5)
8	Dijon	32	47	47.8	-0.8On expectation	4	-1.5	+0.6	0:1 vs Nancy (+1.8)	0:3 vs Boulogne (-1.7)
9	Chateauroux	32	33	35.3	-2.3Underperforming	17	+4.7	-7.0	1:2 vs Quevilly Rouen (+2.1)	0:1 vs Boulogne (-1.5)
10	Quevilly Rouen	32	40	42.4	-2.4Underperforming	9	-0.8	-1.6	0:1 vs Versailles (+1.9)	1:2 vs Chateauroux (-1.9)
11	Orleans	32	45	48.0	-3.0Underperforming	3	-3.5	+0.6	1:3 vs Versailles (+1.8)	2:3 vs Concarneau (-1.8)
12	Villefranche	32	34	37.9	-3.9Underperforming	15	-3.3	-0.5	2:4 vs Rouen (+2.1)	0:1 vs Aubagne (-1.6)
13	Rouen	32	40	44.3	-4.3Underperforming	8	+0.1	-4.4	1:3 vs Orleans (+1.9)	2:4 vs Villefranche (-1.8)
14	Paris 13 Atl.	32	35	39.6	-4.6Underperforming	13	-1.4	-3.2	1:2 vs Nancy (+2.3)	0:1 vs Bourg en Bresse (-1.6)
15	Sochaux	32	38	46.2	-8.2Underperforming −−	5	-5.1	-3.1	2:3 vs Boulogne (+2.0)	0:1 vs Aubagne (-1.8)
16	Versailles	32	36	44.9	-8.9Underperforming −−	6	-3.8	-5.2	2:3 vs Orleans (+2.0)	2:3 vs Boulogne (-1.7)
17	Nimes	32	28	40.4	-12.4Underperforming −−	12	-2.4	-10.0	0:1 vs Quevilly Rouen (+1.9)	2:4 vs Aubagne (-1.9)