Ligue 3 2021-2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Laval	34	67	52.6	+14.4Outperforming ++	6	+3.6	+10.8	1:2 vs Villefranche (+1.9)	2:0 vs Le Mans (-1.5)
2	Annecy	34	66	53.6	+12.4Outperforming ++	3	+10.4	+2.0	1:2 vs Villefranche (+1.9)	2:4 vs Stade Briochin (-1.8)
3	Sedan	34	50	39.2	+10.8Outperforming ++	13	+8.7	+2.1	0:1 vs Red Star (+2.3)	3:1 vs Borgo (-1.3)
4	Villefranche	34	65	55.4	+9.6Outperforming ++	1	+2.2	+7.4	0:1 vs Boulogne (+1.8)	0:2 vs Sete (-2.0)
5	Stade Briochin	34	52	43.8	+8.2Outperforming ++	11	+6.6	+1.6	2:4 vs Annecy (+2.1)	0:1 vs Creteil (-1.7)
6	Avranches	34	42	38.0	+4.0Outperforming	17	+1.9	+2.0	1:2 vs Borgo (+2.0)	0:3 vs Sedan (-1.4)
7	Concarneau	34	58	54.4	+3.6Outperforming	2	+4.3	-0.7	0:2 vs Chateauroux (+1.9)	0:1 vs Le Mans (-2.0)
8	Chateauroux	34	55	53.0	+2.0Outperforming	4	+1.2	+0.8	0:2 vs Red Star (+1.8)	0:1 vs Boulogne (-2.0)
9	Cholet	34	41	39.0	+1.9On expectation	14	+3.0	-1.1	2:3 vs Boulogne (+2.1)	0:3 vs Stade Briochin (-1.2)
10	Bourg en Bresse	34	54	52.9	+1.1On expectation	5	-0.5	+1.6	3:0 vs Annecy (+1.9)	0:2 vs Red Star (-1.7)
11	Le Mans	34	46	45.7	+0.3On expectation	9	+2.5	-2.2	0:1 vs Concarneau (+2.2)	0:1 vs Borgo (-1.7)
12	Sete	34	37	37.7	-0.7On expectation	18	-0.7	+0.0	0:2 vs Villefranche (+2.2)	0:1 vs Cholet (-1.7)
13	Orleans	34	47	48.0	-0.9On expectation	8	+0.6	-1.6	0:1 vs Concarneau (+1.9)	0:1 vs Sete (-1.9)
14	Red Star	34	45	51.8	-6.8Underperforming −−	7	-5.4	-1.4	0:2 vs Bourg en Bresse (+2.0)	0:1 vs Sedan (-2.1)
15	Borgo	34	31	38.9	-7.9Underperforming −−	16	+0.2	-8.0	0:1 vs Le Mans (+2.0)	1:2 vs Avranches (-1.8)
16	Chambly	34	29	40.6	-11.6Underperforming −−	12	-4.8	-6.7	1:2 vs Red Star (+2.1)	1:4 vs Sete (-1.8)
17	Creteil	34	26	38.9	-12.9Underperforming −−	15	-1.9	-11.0	1:0 vs Red Star (+2.0)	1:2 vs Sedan (-1.5)
18	Boulogne	34	27	44.2	-17.2Underperforming −−	10	-8.7	-8.5	0:1 vs Chateauroux (+2.3)	2:3 vs Cholet (-1.9)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Laval	34	67	52.6	+14.4Outperforming ++	6	+3.6	+10.8	1:2 vs Villefranche (+1.9)	2:0 vs Le Mans (-1.5)
2	Annecy	34	66	53.6	+12.4Outperforming ++	3	+10.4	+2.0	1:2 vs Villefranche (+1.9)	2:4 vs Stade Briochin (-1.8)
3	Sedan	34	50	39.2	+10.8Outperforming ++	13	+8.7	+2.1	0:1 vs Red Star (+2.3)	3:1 vs Borgo (-1.3)
4	Villefranche	34	65	55.4	+9.6Outperforming ++	1	+2.2	+7.4	0:1 vs Boulogne (+1.8)	0:2 vs Sete (-2.0)
5	Stade Briochin	34	52	43.8	+8.2Outperforming ++	11	+6.6	+1.6	2:4 vs Annecy (+2.1)	0:1 vs Creteil (-1.7)
6	Avranches	34	42	38.0	+4.0Outperforming	17	+1.9	+2.0	1:2 vs Borgo (+2.0)	0:3 vs Sedan (-1.4)
7	Concarneau	34	58	54.4	+3.6Outperforming	2	+4.3	-0.7	0:2 vs Chateauroux (+1.9)	0:1 vs Le Mans (-2.0)
8	Chateauroux	34	55	53.0	+2.0Outperforming	4	+1.2	+0.8	0:2 vs Red Star (+1.8)	0:1 vs Boulogne (-2.0)
9	Cholet	34	41	39.0	+1.9On expectation	14	+3.0	-1.1	2:3 vs Boulogne (+2.1)	0:3 vs Stade Briochin (-1.2)
10	Bourg en Bresse	34	54	52.9	+1.1On expectation	5	-0.5	+1.6	3:0 vs Annecy (+1.9)	0:2 vs Red Star (-1.7)
11	Le Mans	34	46	45.7	+0.3On expectation	9	+2.5	-2.2	0:1 vs Concarneau (+2.2)	0:1 vs Borgo (-1.7)
12	Sete	34	37	37.7	-0.7On expectation	18	-0.7	+0.0	0:2 vs Villefranche (+2.2)	0:1 vs Cholet (-1.7)
13	Orleans	34	47	48.0	-0.9On expectation	8	+0.6	-1.6	0:1 vs Concarneau (+1.9)	0:1 vs Sete (-1.9)
14	Red Star	34	45	51.8	-6.8Underperforming −−	7	-5.4	-1.4	0:2 vs Bourg en Bresse (+2.0)	0:1 vs Sedan (-2.1)
15	Borgo	34	31	38.9	-7.9Underperforming −−	16	+0.2	-8.0	0:1 vs Le Mans (+2.0)	1:2 vs Avranches (-1.8)
16	Chambly	34	29	40.6	-11.6Underperforming −−	12	-4.8	-6.7	1:2 vs Red Star (+2.1)	1:4 vs Sete (-1.8)
17	Creteil	34	26	38.9	-12.9Underperforming −−	15	-1.9	-11.0	1:0 vs Red Star (+2.0)	1:2 vs Sedan (-1.5)
18	Boulogne	34	27	44.2	-17.2Underperforming −−	10	-8.7	-8.5	0:1 vs Chateauroux (+2.3)	2:3 vs Cholet (-1.9)