Challenger Pro League 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Beveren | 32 | 88 | 63.7 | +24.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +11.6 | +12.7 | 0:2 vs RWDM Brussels (+1.8) | 2:2 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-1.2) |
2 | RFC Liege | 32 | 53 | 45.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 7 | +6.3 | +1.6 | 2:0 vs Kortrijk (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sporting Lokeren (-1.6) |
3 | Kortrijk | 32 | 67 | 60.9 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +10.3 | -4.2 | 1:2 vs Beerschot VA (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-2.0) |
4 | Beerschot VA | 32 | 64 | 58.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +0.9 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs Lommel SK (+1.5) | 3:1 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-2.2) |
5 | Gent U23 | 32 | 41 | 38.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 12 | -0.9 | +3.9 | 1:2 vs Beerschot VA (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Anderlecht U23 (-1.5) |
6 | Lommel SK | 32 | 53 | 50.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 4 | -0.5 | +3.4 | 0:2 vs Patro Eisden (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-2.3) |
7 | Seraing | 32 | 35 | 32.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 15 | +0.4 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs Lommel SK (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Anderlecht U23 (-1.4) |
8 | Eupen | 32 | 47 | 44.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 8 | +1.1 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs Patro Eisden (+2.1) | 0:1 vs K. Lierse S.K. (-1.9) |
9 | Patro Eisden | 32 | 51 | 49.7 | +1.3On expectation | 5 | +1.1 | +0.2 | 0:2 vs Beerschot VA (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Eupen (-1.8) |
10 | K. Lierse S.K. | 32 | 38 | 38.2 | -0.2On expectation | 11 | -1.8 | +1.6 | 2:0 vs RWDM Brussels (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Seraing (-1.6) |
11 | Genk U23 | 32 | 31 | 32.2 | -1.2On expectation | 16 | -2.6 | +1.4 | 1:2 vs Lommel SK (+2.2) | 2:3 vs K. Lierse S.K. (-1.5) |
12 | Sporting Lokeren | 32 | 42 | 44.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 9 | -3.3 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs RFC Liege (+1.9) | 0:1 vs RFC Liege (-1.4) |
13 | Anderlecht U23 | 32 | 31 | 35.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 13 | -3.7 | -0.8 | 0:5 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Genk U23 (-1.5) |
14 | Francs Borains | 32 | 35 | 40.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 10 | +0.5 | -5.8 | 4:1 vs Kortrijk (+2.1) | 0:1 vs OC Charleroi (-1.7) |
15 | RWDM Brussels | 32 | 36 | 46.2 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -8.7 | -1.5 | 0:2 vs OC Charleroi (+1.7) | 2:0 vs K. Lierse S.K. (-1.9) |
16 | Club Brugge KV U23 | 32 | 21 | 34.5 | -13.5Underperforming −− | 14 | -7.8 | -5.8 | 0:1 vs Lommel SK (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Genk U23 (-1.9) |
17 | OC Charleroi | 32 | 16 | 31.4 | -15.4Underperforming −− | 17 | -16.1 | -2.3 | 0:1 vs Francs Borains (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-1.6) |
