Challenger Pro League 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Club Brugge KV U23 | 30 | 37 | 29.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 15 | -1.7 | +8.8 | 0:2 vs Beveren (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Seraing (-1.2) |
2 | Beerschot VA | 30 | 56 | 50.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | -2.6 | +8.1 | 0:1 vs Waregem (+1.7) | 1:0 vs St. Liege U23 (-2.0) |
3 | Patro Eisden | 30 | 51 | 45.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | +1.9 | +3.6 | 1:2 vs Lommel SK (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Seraing (-1.7) |
4 | Dender | 30 | 54 | 49.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 4 | -0.9 | +5.6 | 0:1 vs RFC Liege (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Anderlecht U23 (-1.9) |
5 | Deinze | 30 | 53 | 48.6 | +4.3Outperforming | 6 | +4.5 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs Beerschot VA (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-2.2) |
6 | RFC Liege | 30 | 49 | 44.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 8 | +3.4 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Beveren (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Anderlecht U23 (-2.0) |
7 | Lommel SK | 30 | 52 | 48.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 5 | +3.3 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Oostende (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Genk U23 (-2.0) |
8 | K. Lierse S.K. | 30 | 35 | 33.9 | +1.1On expectation | 14 | +1.3 | -0.2 | 2:4 vs RFC Liege (+2.1) | 1:4 vs St. Liege U23 (-1.9) |
9 | Genk U23 | 30 | 37 | 37.4 | -0.4On expectation | 10 | +0.2 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Lommel SK (+2.2) | 3:1 vs St. Liege U23 (-1.8) |
10 | Waregem | 30 | 51 | 52.2 | -1.2On expectation | 1 | -12.2 | +11.1 | 1:4 vs Dender (+2.0) | 2:5 vs Anderlecht U23 (-2.1) |
11 | Anderlecht U23 | 30 | 34 | 35.2 | -1.2On expectation | 11 | -7.4 | +6.3 | 2:5 vs Waregem (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-1.8) |
12 | Francs Borains | 30 | 32 | 34.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 12 | -1.5 | -1.4 | 1:3 vs Waregem (+2.3) | 2:5 vs Genk U23 (-1.7) |
13 | Oostende | 30 | 38 | 42.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 9 | -11.4 | +7.1 | 0:1 vs Waregem (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-2.0) |
14 | St. Liege U23 | 30 | 17 | 22.6 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 16 | -0.7 | -4.9 | 2:1 vs Deinze (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-1.2) |
15 | Beveren | 30 | 45 | 51.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 2 | -3.2 | -2.9 | 0:1 vs Waregem (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-2.2) |
16 | Seraing | 30 | 28 | 34.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 13 | -5.7 | -0.7 | 3:0 vs Patro Eisden (+2.0) | 1:5 vs Francs Borains (-1.6) |
