Challenger Pro League 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 62 | 48.8 | +13.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.5 | +7.7 | 1:2 vs Deinze (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-1.7) |
2 | Club Brugge KV U23 | 29 | 47 | 35.3 | +11.7Outperforming ++ | 11 | +6.7 | +5.1 | 2:1 vs RAAL La Louviere (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Eupen (-1.5) |
3 | Beveren | 29 | 51 | 42.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.8 | +5.0 | 0:2 vs RWDM Brussels (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sporting Lokeren (-1.8) |
4 | RWDM Brussels | 29 | 60 | 53.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.5 | +1.4 | 0:2 vs Lommel SK (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Lommel SK (-2.4) |
5 | Waregem | 29 | 60 | 53.3 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.2 | +0.6 | 1:3 vs Eupen (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Lommel SK (-2.1) |
6 | Sporting Lokeren | 29 | 42 | 35.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 10 | -0.6 | +7.2 | 2:0 vs Waregem (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Seraing (-1.7) |
7 | K. Lierse S.K. | 29 | 40 | 34.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 12 | +5.6 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Waregem (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Club Brugge KV U23 (-1.6) |
8 | Patro Eisden | 29 | 52 | 48.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 4 | +1.6 | +2.1 | 0:2 vs RAAL La Louviere (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Seraing (-2.2) |
9 | Deinze | 14 | 18 | 18.3 | -0.3On expectation | 16 | +0.5 | -0.7 | 1:4 vs Anderlecht U23 (+1.4) | 1:2 vs RAAL La Louviere (-1.7) |
10 | RFC Liege | 29 | 37 | 38.6 | -1.6On expectation | 8 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs RWDM Brussels (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Eupen (-1.5) |
11 | Seraing | 29 | 22 | 27.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 15 | -8.3 | +2.6 | 2:3 vs Patro Eisden (+2.4) | 0:3 vs RFC Liege (-1.2) |
12 | Francs Borains | 29 | 31 | 36.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 9 | -8.2 | +2.3 | 1:2 vs Genk U23 (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Seraing (-1.7) |
13 | Anderlecht U23 | 29 | 23 | 32.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.2 | -5.8 | 2:1 vs RWDM Brussels (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Francs Borains (-1.5) |
14 | Eupen | 28 | 30 | 39.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.3 | -5.1 | 0:3 vs RFC Liege (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Sporting Lokeren (-1.9) |
15 | Lommel SK | 29 | 30 | 41.2 | -11.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -11.5 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs RWDM Brussels (+2.5) | 0:2 vs RFC Liege (-1.8) |
16 | Genk U23 | 29 | 14 | 31.4 | -17.4Underperforming −− | 14 | -7.9 | -9.5 | 4:1 vs RFC Liege (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Francs Borains (-1.7) |
