Grasshoppers vs Sion
Super League, Switzerland · 2026-09-15 · 19:00 CET
DWLLL
WWWDLThe score model made a Sion win the most likely outcome at 50%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 51%). It finished 2:5 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome came in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Grasshoppers 1.07 – 1.64 Sion.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshoppers win | 24.7% | 24.9% | -0.2% | ✗ |
| Draw | 24.9% | 24.1% | +0.8% | ✗ |
| Sion win | 50.4% | 51.0% | -0.6% | ✓ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.9% | 66.0% | -15.1% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.9% | 45.9% | -17.1% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 53.2% | 66.2% | -13.0% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 74.0% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 39.1% | 45.0% | -5.9% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Grasshoppers 48.2 / Sion 42.5 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Grasshoppers vs Sion in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.