Jeonnam vs Gimpo FC
K League 2, South-Korea · 2026-09-13 · 09:30 CET
DDLWL
LDWLWThe score model made a Gimpo FC win the most likely outcome at 39%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 50%). It finished 2:2 (HT 1:1) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Jeonnam 1.28 – 1.39 Gimpo FC.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonnam win | 34.0% | 26.2% | +7.9% | ✗ |
| Draw | 27.0% | 27.8% | -0.8% | ✓ |
| Gimpo FC win | 39.0% | 46.1% | -7.1% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.9% | 48.7% | +1.2% | ✓ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.9% | 28.1% | -0.2% | ✓ |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% | 53.5% | +1.2% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 65.8% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 30.5% | 33.3% | -2.8% | ✓ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Jeonnam 50.7 / Gimpo FC 49.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
Open Jeonnam vs Gimpo FC in the interactive Dixon–Coles & Asian Handicap calculator →
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.