Biggest divergence
Ansan Greeners – Hwaseong+10.3%
Under 2.5 · data 59% vs market 49%
Fastest starters
Gimpo FC21%
6 of their 28 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Busan41%
16 of their 39 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
The season in numbers
The outlier
+25.9uBlindly backing draws in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-11.1 ptsJeonnam produced performances worth 11 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
30%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 34.9' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →
Ansan Greeners – Hwaseong2026-09-12 10:00Under 2.5 ✓58.9%vs 48.5%▲ +10.3%- Seoul E-Land – Suwon Bluewings2026-09-12 07:30Under 1.5 HT ✓78.0%vs 69.0%▲ +9.1%
- Daegu – Yongin2026-09-12 07:30Away win25.5%vs 18.2%▲ +7.3%
- Jeonnam – Gimpo FC2026-09-13 07:30Home win ✓33.6%vs 28.2%▲ +5.4%
- Asan – Cheongju2026-09-12 10:00Home win ✓52.5%vs 47.8%▲ +4.7%
- Busan – Gimhae2026-09-13 10:00Over 1.5 HT ✓43.0%vs 38.9%▲ +4.1%
- Suwon FC – Cheonan City2026-09-13 10:00Home win ✓65.9%vs 62.9%▲ +3.0%
- Gyeongnam – Seongnam2026-09-13 07:30Under 2.560.1%vs 61.0%-0.8%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ansan Greeners– Hwaseong | 2026-09-12 | 10:00 | Under 2.5 ✓ | 58.9% | 48.5% | ▲ +10.3% | 2.06 | |
| 2 |  Seoul E-Land– Suwon Bluewings | 2026-09-12 | 07:30 | Under 1.5 HT ✓ | 78.0% | 69.0% | ▲ +9.1% | 1.45 | |
| 3 |  Daegu– Yongin | 2026-09-12 | 07:30 | Away win | 25.5% | 18.2% | ▲ +7.3% | 5.48 | |
| 4 |  Jeonnam– Gimpo FC | 2026-09-13 | 07:30 | Home win ✓ | 33.6% | 28.2% | ▲ +5.4% | 3.54 | |
| 5 |  Asan– Cheongju | 2026-09-12 | 10:00 | Home win ✓ | 52.5% | 47.8% | ▲ +4.7% | 2.09 | |
| 6 |  Busan– Gimhae | 2026-09-13 | 10:00 | Over 1.5 HT ✓ | 43.0% | 38.9% | ▲ +4.1% | 2.57 | |
| 7 |  Suwon FC– Cheonan City | 2026-09-13 | 10:00 | Home win ✓ | 65.9% | 62.9% | ▲ +3.0% | 1.59 | |
| 8 |  Gyeongnam– Seongnam | 2026-09-13 | 07:30 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 61.0% | -0.8% | 1.64 |
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 10 AugWe simulate the remaining K League 2 schedule 10,000 times a day. Suwon FC win the 2026 title in 41% of them, projecting ~61 points; Suwon Bluewings are next at 30%. At the other end, Paju Frontier finish in the bottom three in 99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon FC | 36 | 61 | 55–67 | 41% | 91% | — |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 40 | 60 | 54–66 | 30% | 87% | — |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land | 37 | 58 | 52–64 | 16% | 76% | — |
| 4 | Daegu | 35 | 56 | 50–61 | 7% | 57% | — |
| 5 | Busan | 36 | 55 | 49–61 | 5% | 48% | — |
| · · · | |||||||
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 19 | 29 | 24–34 | — | — | 9% |
| 16 | Paju Frontier | 21 | 21 | 21–21 | — | — | 99% |
| 17 | Gimhae | 11 | 21 | 16–26 | — | — | 87% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 104 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/south-korea/k-league-2/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="K League 2 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/south-korea/k-league-2">K League 2 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every K League 2 match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Draws▲ +25.9u
204 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every K League 2 match in 2026: +25.9 units over 204 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -0.6u
204 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every K League 2 match in 2026: -0.6 units over 204 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▼ -3.9u
204 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every K League 2 match in 2026: -3.9 units over 204 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -23.3u
204 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every K League 2 match in 2026: -23.3 units over 204 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -32.7u
204 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every K League 2 match in 2026: -32.7 units over 204 flat-stake bets.Home wins▼ -38.5u
204 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every K League 2 match in 2026: -38.5 units over 204 flat-stake bets.Away wins▼ -39.0u
204 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every K League 2 match in 2026: -39.0 units over 204 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon Bluewings | 53 | 47.1 | +5.9 | |
| 2 | Suwon FC | 45 | 38.3 | +6.7 | |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land | 45 | 41.1 | +3.9 | |
| 4 | Daegu | 43 | 42.1 | +0.9 | |
| 5 | Hwaseong | 41 | 34.5 | +6.5 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 22 | 21.0 | +1.0 | |
| 16 | Jeonnam | 21 | 32.1 | -11.1 | underperformed expectations |
| 17 | Gimhae | 14 | 24.8 | -10.8 | underperformed expectations |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdownOdds archive · €296 seasons of open/close odds, every bookmaker
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+